The longer you’ve invested in, or traded financial markets, the more you probably realize just how difficult it is to accurately time financial markets. Pundits and talking heads will tell you it’s impossible. However, after 20 years of trading and investing, including stocks, bonds, currencies, futures, and options, I do believe it’s possible to identify key characteristics that are present at or near every major turning point in virtually every market. More →
Introduction
With the Dow passing 19,000 and the S&P 500 passing 2,200 points, it’s time to take a look at the markets, investors’ expectations, and the real possibilities that those expectations will be met. More →
Introduction
In the last two years, the dollar has moved strongly against the Euro while the European stock indexes practically haven’t gone anywhere despite the BREXIT, the Deutsche Bank crisis, and the upcoming Italian referendum.
Today we’ll analyze the current risk reward situation for U.S. investors wanting to diversify into Europe by analyzing currencies, valuations, and the general politic and economic risks Europe holds. More →
Activist Investors
Activists open a position in a company that is large enough to enable putting pressure on management, more often than not in a public way. They put pressure on management because they believe that the company is mismanaged and value can be unlocked through changes in corporate policies, acquisitions, divestments, better use of cash, larger dividends, cost-cutting, better financing options, etc. More →
Introduction
In her latest speech, FED Chair Janet Yellen clearly stated that she expects global economic growth to firm up, supported by accommodative monetary policies abroad, U.S. inflation to reach the targeted 2% level, and the FED to raise interest rates relatively soon.
After seven years of low interest rates and low inflation, the impact of the above mentioned changes has to be assessed very carefully as there is no recent historical precedent. More →
Introduction
Asymmetrical risk reward is the essence of investing in stocks, and is also essential for those who want to beat the market.
In today’s article, we’ll discuss what it is, what investment vehicle has the best asymmetrical risk reward opportunities, and how you can apply its benefits to your investments. More →
Last week we discussed what it means to be a contrarian investor. And why, when done successfully, it can lead to substantial market outperformance.
Today we are going to discuss a specific contrarian opportunity in the chain restaurant business. More →
Introduction
Each year, the World Economic Forum (WEF) publishes its Global Risk Report. It’s a great, comprehensive analysis to look at to better understand the world we are living in.
Today we’ll analyze the global risks from an investing perspective and will arrive at interesting conclusions. More →
Introduction
This summer, I was in Italy and buying some olive oil. As we use mostly olive oil in our kitchen, I bought 10 liters of this special oil, enough to last for a few months. More →
Introduction
In the last couple of weeks, metal prices have moved.
Copper has made an historic surge of 21.5% in the last two weeks, while gold fell 7.5% from its peak.
As Trump won the election, the expectation of intensified construction and increased investments in infrastructure have pushed copper prices higher while gold suffered as the world didn’t come to an end. The short term moves in metal prices aren’t that significant as they are influenced mostly by speculators, but an analysis can show us where the long-term risks and opportunities lie. More →
