• 23 Aug
    Are You An Investing Optimist? Check Your Portfolio

    Are You An Investing Optimist? Check Your Portfolio

    • Investors are very optimistic in bull markets and allocate much of their portfolio to stocks, increasing their risk.
    • Analysts and economists expect more spending which will consequently push GDP and inflation up, but low rates push people to save more for their retirement.
    • If the GDP and earnings don’t grow as expected, we could see a bear market in 2017.

    Introduction

    Stock markets keep going up while fundamentals keep going down and the economic situation isn’t that great either. The S&P 500 is dancing around new highs despite corporate earnings for Q2 falling by 3.6%, and the economy only growing by 1.2% on an annualized basis. Economic growth for the whole of 2016 is only at 1%. More →

  • 22 Aug
    The Important Insights From The FOMC Minutes No One Is Talking About

    The Important Insights From The FOMC Minutes No One Is Talking About

    • The FED’s “protect the market at all costs” attitude minimizes the risk of a severe bear market but increases the risk for an inflationary environment.
    • Trade deficits and low productivity are not good signs for the long-term, no matter the positive data from the labor market.
    • Until the focus shifts from central banks to real structural reforms, sluggish GDP growth could easily turn into a recession.

    Introduction

    There are more important insights that can be gained by going through the FOMC minutes than by just reading the news about an eventual interest rate increase. An interest rate increase of 0.5% won’t change much. It will give the news something to talk about for two weeks and from then onwards it will be business as usual. Structural risks and what the FED is ready to do or not do in the case of turmoil is what will determine our investing returns. More →

  • 21 Aug
    Sunday Edition: Stop Losses and Value-Oriented Income Generation

    Sunday Edition: Stop Losses and Value-Oriented Income Generation

    Today’s Sunday Edition discusses the biggest reason why your investments might be underperforming, and why the Rebel Income system isn’t subject to this one fatal flaw, which might explain the nearly 30% annual returns over the last two years.

    In a study conducted by Dalbar Inc.—the nation’s leading financial services market research firm—through 2014, the 20-year annualized S&P return was 9.85% while the 20-year annualized return for the average equity mutual fund investor was only 5.19%, a gap of 4.66%. More →

  • 19 Aug
    The U.S. Dollar: Should You Stick To It Or Diversify Now?

    The U.S. Dollar: Should You Stick To It Or Diversify Now?

    • The dollar has been positively correlated with stocks for the last 4 years which is unusual.
    • Potential FED interest rate increases don’t make international diversification a great idea right now.
    • Any sign of a U.S. recession should be a good time to think about international diversification with emerging markets.

    Introduction

    On big news sites like Bloomberg you often come across headlines related to the movement of the U.S. dollar. The headline below is a good example. More →

  • 18 Aug
    Commodities: Stick To The Fundamentals, Beware Of Speculation

    Commodities: Stick To The Fundamentals, Beware Of Speculation

    • Oil prices are increasing the number of rigs, putting pressure on prices.
    • Soros sold his gold, should you?
    • Iron ore is hot, but waiting until winter might provide better purchasing opportunities.

    Introduction

    Yesterday we discussed how Treasury Inflation-Protection Securities (or TIPS) are a great protection during times of inflation. Today we are going to take a deeper look into another great inflationary protection, commodities.

    The general feeling is that commodities have surged since January, but there is a high level of divergence. This divergence in commodity price movements is due to speculation in some commodities and fundamental reasons in others. More →

  • 17 Aug
    Are Safe Havens Really That Safe?

    Are Safe Havens Really That Safe?

    • Economic laws can’t be muted forever, and in the end always get their due, therefore it is good to look at other options to de-risk your portfolio.
    • Gold is too volatile to be considered a safe haven.
    • Diversification should be the best option to avoid losing everything in a market downturn.

    Introduction

    Economics is pretty straightforward. The first thing they teach you in ECON 101 is that the economy works in credit cycles. In a positive environment with low risks and low base interest rates, people borrow and spend. They buy a new car, go on trips, refurbish the kitchen and so on, which leads to economic expansion. More →

  • 16 Aug
    Emerging Markets Are Hot – Here Is Where You Should Put Your Money

    Emerging Markets Are Hot – Here Is Where You Should Put Your Money

    • Emerging markets are up 10% since our last article on the subject, but the FED’s rate action might quickly erase the gains.
    • Valuations are starting to diverge, but don’t fight the trend.
    • Keep an eye on China as it is relatively undervalued and still boosts economic growth of 6.7%.

    Introduction

    In May we discussed how emerging markets have been rediscovered but are still undervalued. Since then, the emerging markets ETF is up 10%. More →

  • 15 Aug
    Small Cap Value Stocks Have The Best Returns, But Can You Stomach The Catch?

    Small Cap Value Stocks Have The Best Returns, But Can You Stomach The Catch?

    • Historically, small cap value stocks are the best performers.
    • They don’t trade in sync with the market and often are waiting to be discovered.
    • The “waiting to be discovered” period can last for a few years.

    Introduction

    Almost a month ago we discussed how, from a risk-reward perspective given current valuations and historic performance, it isn’t a smart idea to invest in small cap growth stocks at the moment. Today we are going to discuss small cap value stocks to see if they will fare better on our long-term risk-reward scale. More →

  • 14 Aug
    Sunday Edition: Why Stock Assignments AREN’T a Bad Thing

    Sunday Edition: Why Stock Assignments AREN’T a Bad Thing

    If an investors is looking for a quick entry into a highly liquid stock he may choose to use a market order rather than a limit order.  

    However, if he wants to guarantee the price he pays for his shares he will always place a limit order, which will typically be at or below the current quote, unless he is a breakout trader, then his buy limit order may actually be above the current stock price.

    Another stock entry technique—which is arguably better than a limit or a market order, especially when trying to buy at or below the current market quote—is to first sell a put option on the stock you wish to acquire and hope for assignment. More →

  • 12 Aug
    Incredible Investing Opportunity & Free Report

    Incredible Investing Opportunity & Free Report

    In lieu of an article from Sven Carlin, today we wanted to send Investiv Daily subscribers a ‘Thank You’ in the form of a free report and a special bonus ($49 value).

    The Copper Goldmine was written by Sven earlier this year. The report details one particular small cap mining stock that we felt was a great buy, ready to make big gains. Included in this report is an in-depth overview of the company, an analysis of their fundamentals, a detailed look into the market for the primary metals this company mines (copper and zinc), and an explanation on why this company is uniquely positioned to make incredible new highs. More →

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