• 02 Aug
    Euphoria & Denial Point to the Last Days of the Bull Market

    Euphoria & Denial Point to the Last Days of the Bull Market

    • Risks are cumulating and getting bigger.
    • U.S. GDP growth is slower than expected, earnings and oil prices continue to decline.
    • Japan is unable to grow while BREXIT risks are still unfolding.

    Introduction

    It is difficult to find good news lately. The last really good news was the June jobs report when 287,000 jobs were added. Since then, most of the news seems dismal, however, it has yet to have a negative impact on financial markets. It’s as though investors are just hoping for something good to happen in the future. As hopes are an immaterial human feeling, they should not be the base for investment decisions. More →

  • 01 Aug
    Should You Invest in Boring Farmland?

    Should You Invest in Boring Farmland?

    • Global demand for food is going to increase by 50% in 2050, while farmland supply is pretty much fixed.
    • Historically farmland returns are an inflation hedge and have low volatility.
    • REITs give retail investment options.

    Introduction

    With low general yields and high stock valuations, you might want to look at other types of assets to improve your diversification and returns. An interesting asset to own is farmland. More →

    By Sven Carlin Farmland Investiv Daily
  • 31 Jul
    Sunday Edition: Put Selling as a Conservative Investing Strategy

    Sunday Edition: Put Selling as a Conservative Investing Strategy

    We recently decided to add a Sunday Edition of Investiv Daily to mix it up a bit. We hope you are enjoying the daily content provided by Sven Carlin, one of the sharpest analysts and investors we know.

    In the Sunday Edition we plan to publish content which is more educational in nature and can help you become a much better investor. More →

  • 29 Jul
    Corporate Earnings of the S&P 500’s Top 10: Why It Is Important for You

    Corporate Earnings of the S&P 500’s Top 10: Why It Is Important for You

    • Corporate earnings and fundamentals are variable, pick the stocks that best suit you.
    • There are low PE ratio stocks, high growth stocks, and high dividend yielders – anything you might want.
    • But be aware: some companies engage in buybacks that are detrimental to shareholders’ value.

    Introduction

    When you add up the top ten companies by weight, they account for 17.7% of the total weight of the S&P 500. For investors who are heavily invested in the S&P 500, following the earnings of its top ten companies is essential in order to understand the risks and rewards of being invested in the index. In this article we are going to assess the current market situation by looking at what has been going on with the 10 biggest companies in the S&P 500 index. More →

  • 28 Jul
    Can Your Portfolio Withstand Any Economic Environment? See What Ray Dalio Has To Say

    Can Your Portfolio Withstand Any Economic Environment? See What Ray Dalio Has To Say

    • With 86 months of economic growth and growing money supply, the current economic environment might soon change.
    • On top of the beta returns, specific alpha asset allocation can further increase your returns.
    • In this article you will find a strategy that works at all times.

    Introduction

    Ray Dalio is the most successful hedge fund manager by net gains. His Bridgewater Pure Alpha fund reached $45 billion in net gains in 2016 beating George Soros with $42.8 billion in gains since inception. What’s even more impressive is that Dalio has reached such a performance with only 4 negative years in the 40 year period. More →

  • 27 Jul
    Will A Bet On Commodities Pay Now?

    Will A Bet On Commodities Pay Now?

    • Iron ore prices are falling as supply continues to grow, while copper and zinc prices show signs of supply gaps forming.
    • Low exploration and discoveries indicate that metals will be winners again in the future.
    • The possibility of future inflation increases the appeal of commodities.

    Introduction

    Diversification is the ultimate protection against various economic factors, in recessions you might want to hold gold or treasuries, in inflationary times you want to be long stocks and commodities. Therefore it is very important to always know what is happening in each potential diversification sector. More →

  • 26 Jul
    The Economic News is Very Good, But Keep An Eye On the FED and GDP This Week

    The Economic News is Very Good, But Keep An Eye On the FED and GDP This Week

    • Housing is showing inflationary signs but still offers an opportunity to profit from the rising trend as a downturn is unlikely and not expected in the short term.
    • Amidst all the positive news, manufacturing turned negative. Yet despite this, stock valuations keep going up, increasing the risk.
    • In the week ahead: the FED’s decision and GDP data. It looks like stable weather in the near future.

    Introduction

    The last sequence of economic data was very positive. In this article we are going to discuss the important data coming out this week and analyze the information released last week. Then we’ll combine it with the current situation on the market and, as always, analyze the risks and rewards. More →

  • 25 Jul
    Beware of “Thinkless” Investing

    Beware of “Thinkless” Investing

    • Passively managed funds do offer the lowest fees but invest in stocks without “thinking”.
    • High positive net inflows into passively managed funds push large caps higher regardless of fundamentals.
    • If non “thinking” investors panic when things turn, large caps will be the worst performers.

    Introduction

    Today we are going to discuss two related topics: fees and the general market consequences of passively managed investing funds.

    Fees are charged by funds for their services, be it active or passive management. Passively managed funds, which have the lowest fees, merely track an index. Over the last several years a trend has developed toward lower fees and passively managed funds which may also be creating a growing risk that equities are held by “weak” hands.  If panic comes, and investors pull their money out, passive fund managers will be forced to sell, creating further market havoc. More →

  • 22 Jul
    Have Recent Market & Currency Gains In Brazil Just Increased The Risks?

    Have Recent Market & Currency Gains In Brazil Just Increased The Risks?

    • Brazil’s economy contraction is slowing and the trend is turning positive.
    • The political situation is currently stable but trouble is always around the corner.
    • Fundamentals show potential but also risks as the price to book value is relatively high at 1.4.

    Introduction

    In April we wrote about Brazil and described it as a good risk reward opportunity as all the bad things had already happened. Brazil’s president Dilma Rousseff had just been impeached, the economy had declined by more than 5% and Brazil’s currency was at historical lows against the dollar. More →

  • 21 Jul
    Higher Interest Rates Aren’t A Given, But Investors Should Prepare Anyway. Find Out Why.

    Higher Interest Rates Aren’t A Given, But Investors Should Prepare Anyway. Find Out Why.

    • Rates cannot go lower but higher rates would destroy wealth and lead to a recession.
    • The FED is in a difficult position and rhetoric shifts can be expected.

    Introduction

    It is every central banker’s target, the elusive 2% rate of inflation. We cannot know when, but should expect that it will be achieved and prepare accordingly. Since rising interest rates help to keep inflation in check, once the target is reached, as strange as it sounds, rates should also rise to compensate. This article is going to analyze what is happening, what will probably happen, and how it will affect investments. More →

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