• 26 Sep
    An EV Future: Investing Dos & Don’ts – Specific Investment Opportunity Disclosed

    An EV Future: Investing Dos & Don’ts – Specific Investment Opportunity Disclosed

    • We won’t mention Tesla (except for right here).
    • Margins are essential for profitable long term investments.
    • Alternative related investments seem like the best option for low risk, high reward pre-hype investing opportunities in the electric market, the opposite is true for oil.

    Introduction

    The rumor is that Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL) is searching for a partner to develop a car that many believe will be all-electric. This would be only one additional player in the long line of automotive manufacturers that have embraced the electric trend.

    In this article, we will look at how big the electric trend really is and what the investing opportunities and risks related to the new trend are. More →

  • 25 Sep
    Sunday Edition: Why Assignments From Put Sales Enhance Income Generation

    Sunday Edition: Why Assignments From Put Sales Enhance Income Generation

    I have wanted to write this for quite some time because it needs to be said. I’m sure I will piss off a few people but I can live with that if a few others grasp the wealth building concept I’m trying to make.

    A little over two years ago we launched our Rebel Income newsletter with a focus on income generation by selling put options, collecting dividends, and writing covered calls.

    The impetus behind launching this service was the current retirement crisis where most retirees have severely underfunded retirement accounts—the average account balance of those between the age of 55-64 is $104,000—and we live in a world of negative interest rates. More →

  • 23 Sep
    A Gesture of Goodwill?

    A Gesture of Goodwill?

    • There is a difference between accounting and economic goodwill.
    • Facebook’s $18 billion goodwill acquisition of WhatsApp looks a lot like AOL Time Warner’s goodwill of $128 billion.
    • Economic goodwill not on balance sheets is what to look for. Unfortunately, you won’t see it anywhere.

    Introduction

    Accounting is an essential part of analyzing a company as different accounting regulations and principles bring about totally different analysis results.

    In today’s article, I’m going to give you a small piece of insight on how I do research, how it differs from the usual screening processes that most use, and why it is important. I won’t elaborate on all the possible inconsistencies instance-by-instance as that analysis is better left to books on accounting. Instead, we will discuss one small line item on the balance sheet, goodwill, and how it can severely skew one’s perception of a company. More →

  • 22 Sep
    Enjoy Your Organic Apple, But Think Twice Before Investing In Organics

    Enjoy Your Organic Apple, But Think Twice Before Investing In Organics

    • As growth slows down, investors panic and sell stocks of good companies which can create a value opportunity.
    • Conventional food retailers are entering the organics market increasing general competition.
    • It all boils down to valuation and fundamentals.

    Introduction

    Organic food stocks have been very rewarding to investors who understood the trend from the beginning.

    High margins and a growing customer base has attracted many competitors, squeezing margins, lowering comparable sales, limiting growth and affecting profits. Such a situation is especially bad for growth stocks because as their growth slows down, the high valuations are no longer justified. The consequence is a sharp decline in stock prices as the first estimate misses arrive and guidance becomes more conservative. More →

    By Sven Carlin Investiv Daily Organics Stocks
  • 21 Sep
    Heavy Machinery & Auto Stocks – Is Now The Time To Buy?

    Heavy Machinery & Auto Stocks – Is Now The Time To Buy?

    • Heavy equipment seems to be in the midsts of a supply glut where the risks outweigh the rewards.
    • Emerging markets are the key for car manufacturers, and positioning for growth there is essential.
    • Car manufacturers offer the possibility for long term outperformance by proper due diligence and geographic growth analysis.

    Introduction

    Heavy equipment, machinery and automotive manufacturing are important parts of the economy, but the sector is a cyclical one. In periods of economic growth, the majority of people buy new cars, and new infrastructure and homes are built, which increases the demand for machinery. However, this demand only lasts up to a point after which people have already purchased their new car—and aren’t likely to replace it for 7 years—and there is an abundance of machinery available as machinery is typically made to last for more than 20 years. More →

  • 20 Sep
    7 Years In & Valuations Matter More Now Than Ever Before

    7 Years In & Valuations Matter More Now Than Ever Before

    • Volatility can tell you when to buy, but valuations tell you when to sell.
    • In the 2000s, faster than expected earnings growth, low transaction costs and reduced risks from lower volatility were considered factors of the “New Era” for stocks.
    • These days, low interest rates and low inflation are new factors that create the “New Era,” while the PE ratios just grow and grow. Does this sound familiar?

    Introduction

    Apart from professionals, you rarely find investors who are passionate enough about their investments to make it their day-to-day and weather through the peaks and troughs in the market.

    There are many traders, especially young ones, who were unaware of what stocks were back in 2009 that now believe they are the kings of the world as a result of the tailwinds of the current bull market. In such an environment, valuations are ignored and investors become euphoric which makes them believe, for example, that the merging of Tesla and Solar City is a good idea, or that Facebook will have everlasting growth. In reality, our “new normal” is one of negative interest rates and low yields. More →

  • 19 Sep
    Beware The House Of Cards

    Beware The House Of Cards

    • Stocks and bonds don’t provide diversification, while gold only does sometimes.
    • Alternative assets are better, but not all of them are equal.
    • Hedge funds perform well in bear markets but heavily underperform in bull markets.

    Introduction

    The increased market volatility after the quiet summer demonstrates how risky markets can be. The market falling by 2.5% in a few days on practically no news except for an increased probability of a small increase in in interest rates and no additional stimulus in Europe is a sign of the market’s fragility. More →

  • 18 Sep
    Sunday Edition: Stock Dividends – IRS-Friendly Sacred Cow, or Value Analysis Tool?

    Sunday Edition: Stock Dividends – IRS-Friendly Sacred Cow, or Value Analysis Tool?

    In today’s Sunday Edition, Thomas Moore corrects three major fallacies which so many investors hold true when it comes to investing in dividend paying stocks.

    As Thomas illustrates, investors who succumb to these fallacies might only earn half the return that other more informed value investors might generate. More →

  • 16 Sep
    Want To Retire Comfortably? Do You Have $2,000,000?

    Want To Retire Comfortably? Do You Have $2,000,000?

    • The low yields we have now increase the amount necessary for a comfy retirement nest egg.
    • $500,000 is only estimated to last for a 13 year retirement. Most retirees will completely miss the mark.
    • Avoid risky assets no matter how tempting might the yield be.

    Introduction

    Last week we discussed the true cost of low interest rates with particular attention paid to pension funding. Many defined pension plans are underfunded, and it’s a situation that has to be dealt with now despite it being against human nature to think about a problem that will only arise in the distant future.

    On top of the problems in defined pension funds, low interest rates have a detrimental effect on general pensions and your retirement. More →

  • 15 Sep
    Troubled Waters Ahead For Developed Markets. Look Here For Returns.

    Troubled Waters Ahead For Developed Markets. Look Here For Returns.

    • Europe and Germany aren’t the best places for international diversification right now.
    • The U.S. is looking a bit better, but you’ll find the best opportunities are mostly in emerging markets.
    • Look for companies that are relatively cheap and that have exposure to China, India, and/or Brazil.

    Introduction

    Two days ago we discussed what is going on in the markets in relation to monetary policies. Today we will discuss what is going on in global economics.

    As the market is showing a high level of volatility, basic economic fundamentals is where we should look to get answers on what to do. By analyzing the latest global economic indicators, we can better determine the risk of a recession in the U.S. and Europe or a slowdown in China, all of which could contribute to a decline in global markets. More →

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