• 07 Nov
    Why You Should Be Holding Cash Now

    Why You Should Be Holding Cash Now

    • Beware of the financial industry pushing you to invest your cash. They are only doing so because they don’t earn a dime on it.
    • Market circumstances change, so what might be the best option now compared to other assets, might not be the best option in next five years.
    • Cash is a call option and before investing in anything, you should ask yourself what the risks are. Investing in stocks with a 50% potential decline around the corner for a 2% yield isn’t always the best idea.

    Introduction

    In an environment where everyone is looking to find the next best returns boosting investment, an asset that is rarely discussed and often taken for granted is cash.

    Today we’ll discuss the role cash should play in investors’ portfolios, the perspectives we have on cash, and finally, how much cash investors should have in relation to current market circumstances. More →

  • 06 Nov
    Sunday Edition: What Does EWT Portend For The S&P 500?

    Sunday Edition: What Does EWT Portend For The S&P 500?

    This Sunday Edition will conclude our series on the Elliott Wave Theory (EWT). I hope you have enjoyed reading them as a different perspective on the markets, and hope I haven’t confused you too much.

    To wrap things up we are going to analyze the S&P 500 and see what the future holds for the major stock market indices – that is, according to EWT. More →

  • 04 Nov
    This Metal Offers The Best Risk Reward Potential… And Has A Minimum 50% Upside Potential.

    This Metal Offers The Best Risk Reward Potential… And Has A Minimum 50% Upside Potential.

    • Copper consumption in relation to GDP per capita is essential for understanding the future demand for the metal.
    • At higher than $1.5 per pound, the copper cost curve becomes very steep indicating a sharp boom in copper prices when deficits eventually arise.
    • The five-year investment perspective necessary for copper seems long, but returns of 1,000% are on the table.

    Introduction

    Yesterday we discussed iron ore, aluminum, platinum and zinc. Today we will focus in on copper.

    Copper prices haven’t moved much since the beginning of this year, trading in a range between $2 and $2.2 per ounce. More →

  • 03 Nov
    Which Metals Are Shining The Most In 2016?

    Which Metals Are Shining The Most In 2016?

    • The issue with aluminum and iron ore is that there is plenty of both.
    • Platinum demand is related to demand for internal combustion engine cars.
    • Zinc might continue to be a winner if China continues to grow at the rates it has been.

    Introduction

    As metal prices are very volatile in nature, it’s important to regularly check on what’s going on in order to see where the greatest opportunities and risks are.

    Today we’ll walk through the main investable metals, and look at structural trends, demand and supply balances, and investing opportunities. More →

  • 02 Nov
    Are You Ready For The Tech Revolution? Sven Tells You How To Position Yourself

    Are You Ready For The Tech Revolution? Sven Tells You How To Position Yourself

    • New technologies are coming fast and will be coming faster in the future.
    • It’s important to avoid getting caught in a declining industry, but it’s also important to not buy into the hype of growth industries at crazy valuations.
    • We’ll try to find sectors that will benefit no matter what happens.

    Introduction

    Last week’s unveiling of Elon Musk’s new “solar roof” poses a very important question for investors: How is your portfolio positioned in relation to structural changes and disruptive technologies?

    We might look at solar roofs as uneconomic at the moment—or call a CEO crazy who wants to colonize Mars—but the trends are here to stay. Rare are those among us who would have reacted positively 20 years ago to the idea that it would soon be the same process buying an electric powered or a gasoline fueled car. More →

  • 01 Nov
    GDP Is Up But Stocks Are Down – How You Should Respond

    GDP Is Up But Stocks Are Down – How You Should Respond

    • Inflation is approaching 2% as the current dollar GDP has increased to 4.4%.
    • Both inflation and GDP growth will force the FED to take action – the selloff in yielding assets will continue.
    • Nondurables consumption leads to GDP growth alongside exports and inventories buildups questioning GDP growth sustainability.

    Introduction

    Last Friday, the Bureau of Economic Analysis released the GDP data for Q3 2016. At first, it looked surprisingly good with the GDP growing at an annual rate of 2.9% for the quarter. This is excellent news as it takes the economy out of its anemic growth rhythm seen in the last two years. More →

  • 31 Oct
    REITs – Still A No Go As Risks Are Rising

    REITs – Still A No Go As Risks Are Rising

    • With yields going up, REITs have fallen 10% since the beginning of August.
    • With Italy issuing a 50-year bond at a 2.85% yield, we question the intelligence of the investors who bought them.
    • With REITs you are risking a 50% decline in the next few years for a 3.5% yield.

    What’s Going On With REITs?

    On August 3, 2016, we discussed Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) and how they weren’t a great investment at the time. You can read the article that introduces you to what REITs are and their risk and rewards here.

    Since the beginning of August, REITs have fallen by 10% (iShares U.S. real estate ETF – IYR) compared to the S&P 500 which was practically flat. More →

  • 30 Oct
    Sunday Edition: How High Will Gold Go Over The Coming Decade?

    Sunday Edition: How High Will Gold Go Over The Coming Decade?

    Today we are going to analyze the long-term technical picture in the Gold market and introduce you to another nuance of the Elliott Wave Theory. It’s going to get a bit more technical.

    Up to this point we have primarily discussed the basic A-B-C pattern known as a zig-zag which follows the completion of an impulse or motive wave and looks like this: More →

  • 28 Oct
    Is Merger Arbitrage A Good Bet For The AT&T – Time Warner Deal?

    Is Merger Arbitrage A Good Bet For The AT&T – Time Warner Deal?

    • With merger arbitrage, the biggest risk is always that the deal may not go through.
    • The market is currently giving the AT&T – Time Warner deal a 40% chance of success.
    • We’ll share some merger arbitrage insights from Warren Buffett.

    Introduction

    The announcement of the AT&T (NYSE: T) acquisition of Time Warner (NYSE: TWX) in an $85 billion cash and stock deal, was the big topic on the market this week.

    This and other merger and acquisition deals offer the opportunity to make a buck on merger arbitrage. We’ll explain how merger arbitrage is done, what can be gained from it, and what the risks are. More →

  • 27 Oct
    A Global Risk Reward Perspective

    A Global Risk Reward Perspective

    • Emerging markets will grow faster than advanced economies, but there are many investing risks.
    • If a currency is at risk of being devalued 50% against the US dollar, over a decade you’d need an additional 7% yearly return to cover for it.
    • It is less risky to invest in emerging markets when there is pessimism than when there is euphoria.

    Introduction

    The World Bank revised its 2016 global economic growth forecast down to 2.4 percent from the 2.9 percent pace projected in January. The main reason for this downward revision came from lower commodity prices globally and soft investments in developed countries. But what’s important here is the divergence between the growth in emerging versus developed economies. More →

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