Auto Industry

  • 04 May
    Doing This One Thing Can Help You Save $1 Million

    Doing This One Thing Can Help You Save $1 Million

    One of the things that strongly impact a life but is rarely discussed is buying a car.

    We are bombarded with car commercials, and it seems so important to regularly buy a new car. So, as I think personal finance is a step above and more important than actual stock picking, today I’ll share with you my strategy regarding cars which has been extremely helpful during my life and has enabled me to do so many wonderful things.

    Let me show you how anyone can save a million by buying 5-year old cars instead of new cars. 




    More →

  • 21 Mar
    This Industry Is About To Be Disrupted In A HUGE Way

    This Industry Is About To Be Disrupted In A HUGE Way

    • There are three trends of huge importance in the car industry: electric drive, autonomous drive, and transport as a service.
    • It’s important how this could impact margins and sales.
    • A trend where everything becomes cheaper isn’t a trend you want to be invested in with a few exceptions.



    Introduction

    This past weekend, I discussed Ford from a cyclical sector perspective but there is so much going on in the automotive sector making it a much different environment from what it has been in the last 100 years.

    Today, we’ll discuss what’s changing in the automotive industry and how that will impact producers over the next 10 years. The secular trends I discuss in this video are the shift from internal combustion engines to electric-powered, the shift from active-drive to autonomous, and the shift from user-owned to drive-for-hire services, think of Uber, Lyft, Didi, etc. More →

  • 17 Mar
    Ford Is Cheap, But Should You Buy It Now?

    Ford Is Cheap, But Should You Buy It Now?

    • Today, we’ll discuss what’s most important when analyzing a company like Ford: fundamentals, the economy, sales, intrinsic values, cars, and the stock price.
    • When investing in Ford, you have to think about what the stock price will be when the earnings turn negative. They always do.
    • I’ll show you 3 models that will explain the current price for Ford.



    Why Is Ford So Cheap?

    Many see Ford (NYSE: F) with a price to earnings ratio of just 5.6 and a dividend yield of 5.66% as an extreme bargain. That might be true at first glance, but those who think so haven’t seen economic cycles. More →

  • 22 Nov
    Here’s Why You Need To Invest In The EV Trend

    Here’s Why You Need To Invest In The EV Trend

    • The EV trend is here—that’s a certainty—but the question is, how big will it be?
    • Another important question is how fast will the disruption happen?
    • It’s interesting that the more real business strength an EV manufacturer has, the cheaper it is.



    Introduction

    We all know one thing, electric vehicles (EV) will be the future.

    Many countries don’t have oil and will do their best to switch to electric vehicles with the goal of lowering pollution which is a huge issue, especially in China. More →

    By Sven Carlin Auto Industry Investiv Daily
  • 05 Oct
    The Electric Vehicle Trend Will Be Explosive – Here’s How To Profit On It

    The Electric Vehicle Trend Will Be Explosive – Here’s How To Profit On It



    • The latest news surrounding the electric vehicle market is extremely positive.
    • However, not every related investment will do well. We’ll discuss car manufacturers, graphite, cobalt, nickel, copper, and lithium.
    • There’s one way to profit from the growing trend that carries little risk, is already profitable, and definitely offers high upside in the next decade.

    Introduction

    We all know transportation will be electric in the future. However, this doesn’t mean that every investment in the sector is a smart investment.

    A great example of how investments in hot trends can work out is Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN), and this example is the best-case scenario out there. More →

  • 11 Sep
    Out Of This World Debt Levels Will Damn Future Generations

    Out Of This World Debt Levels Will Damn Future Generations

    • Debt levels are the key driver of economic growth in developed countries. So keep an eye on debt.
    • The velocity of money, household debt, car loans and sales aren’t telling a good story.
    • Globally, the situation isn’t much better. However, there are a few exceptions.

    Introduction

    In today’s article, I’ll analyze the current global debt environment.

    Debt is an economic factor that is unwatched as long as things are going well but as soon at things turn south, everyone will be screaming about a debt crisis and the end of the financial world as we know it.

    Given this, it’s extremely important to know what is going on, how sustainable the current debt levels are, what the impact of debt on the economy is, how to position your portfolio, and perhaps even how to take advantage of potential black swans arising from future debt instabilities. More →

  • 06 Jul
    The Only Way To Invest In The Automotive Sector Today

    The Only Way To Invest In The Automotive Sector Today

    • Automotive stocks are best bought in a recession. I’ll explain how patience pays off.
    • There are no indications of a recession, but car sales have already reached their ceiling.
    • However, a new trend is booming and you may want to expose your portfolio to it.

    Introduction

    The automotive industry is a perfect example of sector cyclicality. What’s important for us investors is that cyclicality offers great investment opportunities. However, a lot of patience is necessary as such opportunities usually only arise once in a decade and only when there is a recession.

    If we take a look at Ford’s (NYSE: F) stock price over the last 30 years, we can see how stock price dips coincide with economic recessions. The stock was the cheapest in 1991, 2002, 2008, and 2012 when there was a recession in Europe. More →

  • 10 May
    The Trouble The Market Refuses To See

    The Trouble The Market Refuses To See

    • GDP growth is at three year lows, car sales have dropped 11%, and the biggest sector contributing to new employment is about to go into oversupply.
    • The FED is in a stalemate situation. It should raise interest rates and deleverage, but it’s already too late as the economy, government, and population is hooked on low interest rates.

    Introduction

    The market’s behavior reminds me of the three wise monkeys. One doesn’t see, the other doesn’t speak, and the third doesn’t hear. The VIX index, a measure of market expectations of near-term volatility conveyed by S&P 500 stock index option prices, indicates that investors expect stability and didn’t even react to the bad news coming from the automotive industry, jobs, and a very important bankruptcy. More →

  • 30 Apr
    Sunday Edition: When Buying Luxury Isn’t So Illogical

    Sunday Edition: When Buying Luxury Isn’t So Illogical

    Sven wrote an interesting article a couple of weeks ago on Ferrari (NYSE: RACE), and how investing in it is dangerous as doing so is investing purely in sentiment. If you didn’t have a chance to read it at the time, you’ll find the article here.

    I agree wholeheartedly with Sven on Ferrari. The brand is synonymous with exclusivity, and when a brand’s market is meant to remain small—Ferrari produces only about 8,000 vehicles per year—it’s hard to imagine how the company intends to grow sales, and if sales and revenue won’t grow significantly over time, I have to wonder what the real point is in investing in the company.

    Not only that, but the instant sentiment for the company changes or the market begins to decline, Ferrari’s stock price will undoubtedly fall significantly and any gains made will be wiped out.

    However, I also believe that there are ways to invest in luxury that do make sense. More →

  • 28 Mar
    Triggering The Next Recession – The Automotive Industry

    Triggering The Next Recession – The Automotive Industry

    • The automotive industry makes up 2.5% of GDP, but its discretionary nature is what makes it important.
    • Car loan delinquencies are rising, sales are starting to get stretched from a credit perspective, and higher interest rates won’t help.
    • There is no risk of a financial crisis arising from the automotive industry, but it’s very likely that the industry will lead the economy into a healthy recession.

    Introduction

    In a recent article, I elaborated on the difference between having a static or a dynamic view of the markets and how not thinking ahead can be very dangerous. I used the total amount of car loans outstanding to point out how things have changed in the past, i.e. car sales increased due to low interest rates, and how things will change in the future, i.e. interest rates will increase and lower car sales. More →

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