Commodities

  • 03 Nov
    Which Metals Are Shining The Most In 2016?

    Which Metals Are Shining The Most In 2016?

    • The issue with aluminum and iron ore is that there is plenty of both.
    • Platinum demand is related to demand for internal combustion engine cars.
    • Zinc might continue to be a winner if China continues to grow at the rates it has been.

    Introduction

    As metal prices are very volatile in nature, it’s important to regularly check on what’s going on in order to see where the greatest opportunities and risks are.

    Today we’ll walk through the main investable metals, and look at structural trends, demand and supply balances, and investing opportunities. More →

  • 02 Nov
    Are You Ready For The Tech Revolution? Sven Tells You How To Position Yourself

    Are You Ready For The Tech Revolution? Sven Tells You How To Position Yourself

    • New technologies are coming fast and will be coming faster in the future.
    • It’s important to avoid getting caught in a declining industry, but it’s also important to not buy into the hype of growth industries at crazy valuations.
    • We’ll try to find sectors that will benefit no matter what happens.

    Introduction

    Last week’s unveiling of Elon Musk’s new “solar roof” poses a very important question for investors: How is your portfolio positioned in relation to structural changes and disruptive technologies?

    We might look at solar roofs as uneconomic at the moment—or call a CEO crazy who wants to colonize Mars—but the trends are here to stay. Rare are those among us who would have reacted positively 20 years ago to the idea that it would soon be the same process buying an electric powered or a gasoline fueled car. More →

  • 30 Oct
    Sunday Edition: How High Will Gold Go Over The Coming Decade?

    Sunday Edition: How High Will Gold Go Over The Coming Decade?

    Today we are going to analyze the long-term technical picture in the Gold market and introduce you to another nuance of the Elliott Wave Theory. It’s going to get a bit more technical.

    Up to this point we have primarily discussed the basic A-B-C pattern known as a zig-zag which follows the completion of an impulse or motive wave and looks like this: More →

  • 23 Oct
    Sunday Edition: Agricultural Grains – A Safe & Potentially Very Profitable Long Term Investment

    Sunday Edition: Agricultural Grains – A Safe & Potentially Very Profitable Long Term Investment

    Today we continue with our series on Elliott Wave patterns and how to use them to identify the end of a bear market and the beginning of a new bull market.

    The market we are going to focus on today is food commodities, specifically grains, and we’ll discuss where prices might be headed over the next several years.

    The chart below is a long term chart of wheat which we will use as our proxy for the entire grain market. However, corn, soybeans, and oats all have similar price patterns on their long term charts as well. More →

  • 16 Oct
    Sunday Edition: Is The Oil Market Doomed Or Is There A Deep Long Term Value Play?

    Sunday Edition: Is The Oil Market Doomed Or Is There A Deep Long Term Value Play?

    Four safe companies yielding 3% – 6% revealed below.

    It’s essential to understand that fundamental value will be only one of the factors determining a security’s price on the day you buy it. Try to have psychology and technicals on your side as well.

    – Howard Marks

    In my opinion, Howard Marks of Oaktree Capital is one of the savviest contrarian investors on Wall Street. It is in the spirit of trying to put the fundamentals, psychology, and technicals on your side that I’m sharing this series on the Elliott Wave Theory. More →

  • 13 Oct
    How To Spot The Big Trends Of The Future

    How To Spot The Big Trends Of The Future

    • In the short term, the market is heavily influenced by new information and noise.
    • In the long term, there are clear trends that can give you an edge to beat the market.
    • We’ll discuss a few trends that are clear but that will take time to develop.

    Introduction

    Some argue that the market is efficient and prices always reflect available information. The Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH) was developed by Chicago School of Economics Professor Eugene Fama who was also awarded a Nobel prize for his findings in 2013. Implications of the EMH are that it is impossible to beat the market consistently on a risk-adjusted basis since market prices only react to new information or changes in discount rates. More →

  • 07 Oct
    Oil & Gold Are Speculation Plays At The Moment, Are You Up For It?

    Oil & Gold Are Speculation Plays At The Moment, Are You Up For It?

    • The long term trend for oil is clear, but short term moves make it a great trading asset.
    • Gold is in a decline as the global economy looks stable and yields are slowly increasing.
    • A quality miner with dollar cost averaging might be the best gold diversification option.

    Introduction

    Two indicators that can give us insight into how the global economy is doing are gold and oil.

    Estimations from various analysts are all over the place for both commodities, some say gold will be at $1,900 in a year or two and oil at $100 while some see oil below $30 or even worthless and gold at $800. What will happen is anyone’s guess as the factors that will influence the outcomes are as yet unknown. As an example, nobody knows if Russia or Iran are going to increase oil output or if additional supply from U.S. shale will be enough to push prices down again. Nevertheless, a look at price movements from the two commodities can give us some interesting insights into the short term expectations and aid  us in the assessment of risk. More →

  • 05 Oct
    How Investing In Food Now Can Make A Difference

    How Investing In Food Now Can Make A Difference

    • Food is a delicate subject as it is a matter of life and death.
    • Food prices are influenced by weather conditions which work in 2-5 year cycles, but the market only looks at short term supply and demand balances.
    • By investing in food when prices are low and selling when prices are high, you do good by bringing balance to the food market which is essential for eliminating hunger and creating a sustainable global food ecosystem.

    Introduction

    Today we’re discussing a delicate topic: food and investing in it. More →

  • 28 Sep
    Earnings Season Is Approaching. Are You Ready?

    Earnings Season Is Approaching. Are You Ready?

    • Earnings will decline for the sixth consecutive quarter.
    • We question the 2017 forecasted earnings growth based purely on higher oil prices.
    • We’ll take a look at what can be done to limit your risks and increase returns.

    Introduction

    What we know is that for the last 5 quarters, the S&P 500 has had declining earnings. The situation doesn’t seem to change course for the next quarter, but most analysts expect earnings growth to come in 2017 as a result of a rebound in energy prices.

    As our readers know, this rebound should have already happened six months ago according to the same analysts’ expectations. In this article we’ll tell their story, but we’ll also analyze what else is out there that can influence future earnings. More →

  • 26 Sep
    An EV Future: Investing Dos & Don’ts – Specific Investment Opportunity Disclosed

    An EV Future: Investing Dos & Don’ts – Specific Investment Opportunity Disclosed

    • We won’t mention Tesla (except for right here).
    • Margins are essential for profitable long term investments.
    • Alternative related investments seem like the best option for low risk, high reward pre-hype investing opportunities in the electric market, the opposite is true for oil.

    Introduction

    The rumor is that Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL) is searching for a partner to develop a car that many believe will be all-electric. This would be only one additional player in the long line of automotive manufacturers that have embraced the electric trend.

    In this article, we will look at how big the electric trend really is and what the investing opportunities and risks related to the new trend are. More →

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