European Union

  • 05 Feb
    Europe Is Drinking Its Own Kool-Aid

    Europe Is Drinking Its Own Kool-Aid

    • Europe is full of confidence which is good, but is it really that healthy?
    • Listening to the Davos ‘global leaders’ tells you a lot about what is going on.
    • Yes, Mario Draghi is a magician. Be careful that your money doesn’t disappear.



    Introduction

    A recent Wall Street Journal video from Davos interviewed many global leaders about the European economic upturn. The level of confidence in their words amazed me because from my perspective, Europe is in deep trouble.

    Let me first tell you who said what and then we’ll look under the hood. More →

  • 18 Dec
    There Are Big Global Risks Out There – Here’s How To Invest For Them

    There Are Big Global Risks Out There – Here’s How To Invest For Them

    If there’s one thing that I’ve learned from my research on financial markets, it’s that you always have to expect the unexpected. Nothing is linear, everything works in cycles and what monetary policy makers say is usually wrong.

    Last week when the FED raised interest rates, Janet Yellen said: “We’re in a synchronized expansion. This is the first time in many years we’ve seen this.”



    That might be true, but the fact is that every economy today is a global economy and the global economy isn’t synchronized. At some point, it will crack somewhere as it always does. The important thing for us is to be prepared for something like that and to see how to best position our portfolios for the consequences that a financial shock might create. More →

  • 23 Nov
    The Stock Market Will Crash In 2018 – Here’s What Could Trigger It

    The Stock Market Will Crash In 2018 – Here’s What Could Trigger It

    • All indicators show a stock market crash is imminent, but what will the trigger be?
    • I’ll discuss what can happen and how bad it could get.
    • As for the timing of it, the best thing is to be prepared for anything.



    Introduction

    To see whether the stock market will crash in 2018 or not, we have to first see what makes a stock market crash and the best way to do that is to look at the 2001 and 2008 market crashes because the financial environment prior to those crashes resembles the current market environment. More →

  • 19 Sep
    10 More European High Dividend Yielders You Should Consider Now

    10 More European High Dividend Yielders You Should Consider Now

    • There are interesting recession-proof companies on this list, all yielding 5% or more.
    • Some companies are cash cows, but don’t forget that tobacco companies have been the best investment in the past 30 years.
    • I’ll finish this list with a systemic risk analysis and a surprise stock with huge growth potential that offers a nice yield of 3%.

    Introduction

    I hope you enjoyed the first part of my two-part series of European stocks with dividends that yield 5% or more.

    Today, I’ll present you with another 10 interesting dividend plays, and I’m sure you’ll find interesting picks that fit your portfolio risk reward appetite. More →

  • 18 Sep
    These 10 European Businesses All Offer Over 5% Dividends, But Are They Ripe For The Picking?

    These 10 European Businesses All Offer Over 5% Dividends, But Are They Ripe For The Picking?

    • There are some good European businesses with yields above 5% that will probably grow in the future.
    • There is even a Dutch speed algorithm trader that offers a yield of 5.39% and hasn’t lost money on any single day in the last 3 years.
    • There are also companies to avoid, like Italian banks.

    Introduction

    On the U.S. stock market, it’s difficult to find dividend yields of above 5% from long-term established companies that have a stable business and good long-term prospects. But in Europe, there are plenty of companies with dividend yields of above 5% that seem like ok businesses and are too cheap to be true. More →

  • 11 Sep
    Out Of This World Debt Levels Will Damn Future Generations

    Out Of This World Debt Levels Will Damn Future Generations

    • Debt levels are the key driver of economic growth in developed countries. So keep an eye on debt.
    • The velocity of money, household debt, car loans and sales aren’t telling a good story.
    • Globally, the situation isn’t much better. However, there are a few exceptions.

    Introduction

    In today’s article, I’ll analyze the current global debt environment.

    Debt is an economic factor that is unwatched as long as things are going well but as soon at things turn south, everyone will be screaming about a debt crisis and the end of the financial world as we know it.

    Given this, it’s extremely important to know what is going on, how sustainable the current debt levels are, what the impact of debt on the economy is, how to position your portfolio, and perhaps even how to take advantage of potential black swans arising from future debt instabilities. More →

  • 09 Aug
    Germany Is Solid As A Rock – Sven Has Some Investment Ideas For How To Take Advantage

    Germany Is Solid As A Rock – Sven Has Some Investment Ideas For How To Take Advantage

    • In terms of fundamentals, the German stock index is overvalued compared to the S&P 500.
    • However, there are a few stocks that could offer interesting diversification possibilities as revenues aren’t that dependent on Europe.
    • Some companies also give inflationary protection which is one of the greatest European risks for investors in the long term.

    Introduction

    I’ve described the investment environment in Europe as very risky due to the many black swans that could hit it, from political to financial issues. Nevertheless, this doesn’t mean that there aren’t any good investments in Europe, especially for those who want to take advantage of the liquidity provided by the ECB and from the possibility that the ECB follows the Bank of Japan, i.e. starts buying stocks when it becomes clear that buying corporate bonds isn’t enough to keep the economy growing and to spur inflation. More →

  • 01 Aug
    Want The Secret Formula For Economic Success? Look To Ray Dalio

    Want The Secret Formula For Economic Success? Look To Ray Dalio

    • It’s possible to estimate a country’s economic growth with precision and I have done so in this article. Perhaps it’s better to say that I used the available—and free—research done by 1,500 Bridgewater employees.
    • As future economic trends are pretty clear, it’s important to position one’s portfolio accordingly.
    • However, don’t just jump into emerging markets at any price. Compare the fundamentals and the growth in relation to your investment horizon.

    Introduction

    There’s a lot of talk about economics, economic growth, what drives it, etc., but there aren’t many facts that properly show links between causes and effects.

    One person who researched those links and shared the findings is Ray Dalio, hedge fund manager of Bridgewater Associates. In today’s article, I’ll describe what Ray found and then analyze how we can best position our portfolios in order to be more exposed to positive forces and less to negative forces. More →

  • 31 Jul
    Europe Is Verging On Communism. Investors Beware.

    Europe Is Verging On Communism. Investors Beware.

    • I’ll describe what communism is and how close Europe is to it.
    • I’ll analyze the implications the current monetary environment will have on investments in Europe and the European currency.
    • You can’t compete with a European company that borrows at negative interest rates.

    Introduction

    Now, the title of today’s article is a pretty heavy statement, but let’s look at the definition of communism and what’s currently going on in Europe to see how far Europe is from actually being communist. More →

  • 09 Feb
    Europe Is A Long Term Ticking Time Bomb

    Europe Is A Long Term Ticking Time Bomb

    • Europe is made up of many countries, which means there are even more politicians that just want to get reelected creating an immense short term attitude.
    • Don’t buy Europe just because it underperformed the S&P 500, and don’t buy European debt at single digit yields.
    • Tightening won’t work as many countries have an average debt to GDP ratio above 85%, therefore there is a high chance that the Euro remains weak for longer.

    Introduction

    The IMF just reported that the situation in Greece is getting better, but the debt is unsustainable. This contradictory as it implies a long term catastrophe and short term positivity. I’m flabbergasted on a daily basis by the incapacity or unwillingness of the financial world and monetary institutions to look at the long term.

    That’s why I’m here. To warn you about impending catastrophes and perhaps even increase your returns in the process. More →

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