Interest Rates

  • 02 Apr
    What You Need To Know About Investing In Gold In 2018

    What You Need To Know About Investing In Gold In 2018

    • What’s moving gold prices up.
    • What can happen to gold in the short to medium term.
    • And how to use gold as a hedge in this environment.



    What’s Moving Gold Prices Up

    When interest rates go up, gold—as a non-yielding asset—is supposed to go down, but we haven’t seen that in the last 12 months.

    Gold prices are up almost 10% over the last 12 months. More →

  • 28 Mar
    Why You Need To Be Thinking About Inflation Hedges Right Now

    Why You Need To Be Thinking About Inflation Hedges Right Now

    We have to ask ourselves what’s going on in the world today, and the answer is pretty simple. Central banks have pushed so much liquidity into the system that everything looks great since technology plus huge investments thanks to low borrowing costs has kept prices down.



    More →

  • 20 Mar
    The End Of Free Money Is Here – Are You Prepared?

    The End Of Free Money Is Here – Are You Prepared?

    • Tesla’s equity might be worth zero.
    • Bitcoin is also in a downward trend, why?
    • There is still free money in some parts of the world.



    Introduction

    There’s one extremely strong wind of change blowing. The 9 year period of practically free money is ending and you should have a safe portfolio considering.

    I’m going to put things into perspective by discussing Tesla, Bitcoin, tariffs on European cars, and Toys R Us. Let’s start with Tesla. More →

  • 14 Mar
    Thinking Of Shorting The Market? Read This First

    Thinking Of Shorting The Market? Read This First

    • Shorting isn’t for everyone, but if done smartly can offer positive risk reward opportunities and great hedges.
    • It looks like we’re ready for a big drop.



    Introduction

    In today’s article, I’ll discuss where we can find fragilities that would offer attractive short opportunities from a macro perspective. An article on where to find short opportunities on the micro perspective with examples will follow, and also an article that will explain how shorting isn’t for most people. More →

  • 06 Mar
    Tariffs & Interest Rate Hikes – Does This Mean Doom & Gloom For Stocks?

    Tariffs & Interest Rate Hikes – Does This Mean Doom & Gloom For Stocks?

    • Last week was an eventful week for stocks. Today, we’ll discuss the long term impact of what has been going on.



    Introduction

    So last week was another down week for the S&P 500 and from what’s going on, it looks like it’s something we should get accustomed to. More →

  • 05 Mar
    Stocks Are Crazy Risky Now – We’ll Reveal The Perfect Hedge

    Stocks Are Crazy Risky Now – We’ll Reveal The Perfect Hedge

    There’s some volatility in the markets that we haven’t seen for a long time.

    The increased volatility is a sign of nervousness and the market is looking for direction.

    No one knows where things will go in the short term as that’s impossible to know. Even Warren Buffett never fails to mention how he has absolutely no idea about where markets will go in the short to medium term.

    If we look at things from a macro perspective, the economy is at its limits and we’ve seen the actual GDP finally reach the potential GDP. More →

  • 26 Feb
    Let’s Talk Inflation & Interest Rates

    Let’s Talk Inflation & Interest Rates

    • The fight between interest rates and stock valuations has started.
    • The only smart thing to do now is to take a long-term perspective and estimate what financial markets will look like in two years. Few think that way.
    • Corporate profits in relation to GDP tell you what will happen in the long term.



    Introduction

    Last Wednesday, the FED released the minutes from its latest meeting. Soon after the minutes were published, the market went into reversal mode. More →

  • 16 Feb
    This Debt-Driven Economy Is Fragile – Here’s How Fragile

    This Debt-Driven Economy Is Fragile – Here’s How Fragile

    • We’ll discuss how fragile this debt driven economy is from a bottom up perspective.
    • You may be surprised by the impact of minor interest rate changes.
    • You should reconsider owning cyclical stocks that depend on consumer debt at this point in the economic cycle.



    Introduction

    Things have been good for 9 years now. This is a fact.

    Today we’ll discuss how and why things could change because when things are good, people and things become weak and fragile. I’ll connect the dots with student debt, mortgages, and consumption to show how it’s all a mere illusion, or at least a big part of it is. More →

  • 29 Jan
    At Davos, Dalio’s Message Tells You Everything You Need To Know

    At Davos, Dalio’s Message Tells You Everything You Need To Know

    • Dalio didn’t say that cash is trash or that it is stupid to hold cash.
    • I’ll explain in more detail what Dalio said.
    • Is the biggest risk nobody is seeing—with the exception of Dalio—political in nature?



    Introduction

    I love Davos because there is always a Bloomberg interview with beautiful mountain scenery and a freezing Ray Dalio.

    Perhaps because of the cold, Dalio always wants to keep the interview as short as possible and spits out all his thoughts on the economy, markets, etc. Some of it will be misinterpreted by the market, but the key message is always extremely important to hear. More →

  • 16 Jan
    Higher Inflation Could Be A Game Changer

    Higher Inflation Could Be A Game Changer

    • Inflation has finally reached the FED’s target of 2%.
    • Employment and GDP levels indicate we are in the late part of the economic cycle.
    • Will the FED lose control over its monetary policy?



    Introduction

    Global economies are all finally doing very well, or at least just well. You can’t expect economic skeletons like Europe to do very well. Nevertheless, monetary policies across developed markets are still supportive.

    Supportive policies, from the ECB still buying bonds on the open market, to the BOJ buying ETFs, and the U.S. lowering taxes, indicate that all these economies would be very different without supportive policies. More →

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