International Diversification

  • 04 Oct
    The New Silk Road Will Change Everything – Here’s What You Need To Know

    The New Silk Road Will Change Everything – Here’s What You Need To Know



    • What’s going on in Asia isn’t news that sells. But the consequence is that we are poorly informed about the groundbreaking One Belt One Road project.
    • Lack of and poor information doesn’t allow for proper capital allocation and international diversification.
    • We’ll discuss what’s going on in Asia and how you can profit from it by buying foreign but also domestic stocks.

    Introduction

    What we’re mostly focused on now will probably be completely irrelevant in a few years and will almost certainly be in fifteen years.

    Most of the market related talk now focuses around possible tax reform or similar incentives. As these are short term factors and the economy offers no free lunch, nobody knows how those probable measures will actually impact the economy and stocks. More →

  • 20 Sep
    The Time Is Now To Invest In Russia

    The Time Is Now To Invest In Russia

    • The Russian economy has returned to growth and the long-term prospects are positive.
    • The combination of the relative stock market cheapness and economic upturn could lead to outsized returns.
    • The ruble could strengthen further while the current dividend yield of 5% isn’t bad at all.

    Introduction

    At the end of 2016, I wrote about how it was best to avoid Russia due to its dependency on oil, slow development and progress even if it was and still is the cheapest stock market in the world. Since then, the Russian ETF has dropped almost 20% but has currently recovered to the December 2016 level. More →

  • 19 Sep
    10 More European High Dividend Yielders You Should Consider Now

    10 More European High Dividend Yielders You Should Consider Now

    • There are interesting recession-proof companies on this list, all yielding 5% or more.
    • Some companies are cash cows, but don’t forget that tobacco companies have been the best investment in the past 30 years.
    • I’ll finish this list with a systemic risk analysis and a surprise stock with huge growth potential that offers a nice yield of 3%.

    Introduction

    I hope you enjoyed the first part of my two-part series of European stocks with dividends that yield 5% or more.

    Today, I’ll present you with another 10 interesting dividend plays, and I’m sure you’ll find interesting picks that fit your portfolio risk reward appetite. More →

  • 18 Sep
    These 10 European Businesses All Offer Over 5% Dividends, But Are They Ripe For The Picking?

    These 10 European Businesses All Offer Over 5% Dividends, But Are They Ripe For The Picking?

    • There are some good European businesses with yields above 5% that will probably grow in the future.
    • There is even a Dutch speed algorithm trader that offers a yield of 5.39% and hasn’t lost money on any single day in the last 3 years.
    • There are also companies to avoid, like Italian banks.

    Introduction

    On the U.S. stock market, it’s difficult to find dividend yields of above 5% from long-term established companies that have a stable business and good long-term prospects. But in Europe, there are plenty of companies with dividend yields of above 5% that seem like ok businesses and are too cheap to be true. More →

  • 18 Aug
    The Bear Case To Investing In China

    The Bear Case To Investing In China

    • The first risk is a possible contraction in the Chinese credit cycle.
    • However, any kind of interest rate spike leads to immediate PBOC intervention.

    Introduction

    I have been pretty bullish in my previous articles about investing in China as I think it’s a positive risk reward situation. Nevertheless, a positive bull case wouldn’t be fair without looking at the risks China carries. So in today’s article we’ll discuss the main risks plaguing the Chinese economy and stock market. Understanding the specific risks will also help in better positioning your portfolio to the ugly things that might happen and carefully selecting the stocks that will be less affected. More →

  • 09 Aug
    Germany Is Solid As A Rock – Sven Has Some Investment Ideas For How To Take Advantage

    Germany Is Solid As A Rock – Sven Has Some Investment Ideas For How To Take Advantage

    • In terms of fundamentals, the German stock index is overvalued compared to the S&P 500.
    • However, there are a few stocks that could offer interesting diversification possibilities as revenues aren’t that dependent on Europe.
    • Some companies also give inflationary protection which is one of the greatest European risks for investors in the long term.

    Introduction

    I’ve described the investment environment in Europe as very risky due to the many black swans that could hit it, from political to financial issues. Nevertheless, this doesn’t mean that there aren’t any good investments in Europe, especially for those who want to take advantage of the liquidity provided by the ECB and from the possibility that the ECB follows the Bank of Japan, i.e. starts buying stocks when it becomes clear that buying corporate bonds isn’t enough to keep the economy growing and to spur inflation. More →

  • 02 Aug
    Want To Invest In The Indian Economic Boom? It Isn’t Easy, But Sven Shows You How It’s Possible

    Want To Invest In The Indian Economic Boom? It Isn’t Easy, But Sven Shows You How It’s Possible

    • Investing in India isn’t easy as many Indian investments won’t benefit from Indian growth.
    • Indian ETFs won’t benefit either while valuations are a bit high.
    • There is a third option.

    Introduction

    If you read yesterday’s article on economic growth projections per country, you know that India has an unmatched position in the world. It has a young and more eager population, a huge labor cost advantage, relatively good education, a low starting point, and issues that can be resolved like corruption and a large geography.

    The country is growing at around 7% per year and is expected to continue to continue growing at that rate for the next few decades. There will of course be ups and downs, but the long term trend is extremely strong. More →

  • 01 Aug
    Want The Secret Formula For Economic Success? Look To Ray Dalio

    Want The Secret Formula For Economic Success? Look To Ray Dalio

    • It’s possible to estimate a country’s economic growth with precision and I have done so in this article. Perhaps it’s better to say that I used the available—and free—research done by 1,500 Bridgewater employees.
    • As future economic trends are pretty clear, it’s important to position one’s portfolio accordingly.
    • However, don’t just jump into emerging markets at any price. Compare the fundamentals and the growth in relation to your investment horizon.

    Introduction

    There’s a lot of talk about economics, economic growth, what drives it, etc., but there aren’t many facts that properly show links between causes and effects.

    One person who researched those links and shared the findings is Ray Dalio, hedge fund manager of Bridgewater Associates. In today’s article, I’ll describe what Ray found and then analyze how we can best position our portfolios in order to be more exposed to positive forces and less to negative forces. More →

  • 21 Jul
    Why Investing In Australia Is A Good Idea Now

    Why Investing In Australia Is A Good Idea Now

    • Positive demographics, strong economic growth, a good business environment, and relative cheapness is what you should look for when investing abroad.
    • Australia has it, and on top of it, Australia offers a high dividend yield and a large potential currency tailwind.
    • The ETF is highly skewed toward financials but a decent stock picker can find a few great picks on the Australian stock market.

    Introduction

    Before investing in a country, I first like to check the demographics because it’s an easily predictable trend that has a huge impact in the long term.

    Because demographics are a long-term trend, it’s usually shunned by most analysts, but a population that grows at 3% per year adds at least 30% to a country’s GDP over 10 years in comparison to a country without population growth (think some European countries). More →

  • 19 Jul
    The Big News From China & What It Means For Your Portfolio

    The Big News From China & What It Means For Your Portfolio

    • The Chinese economy surprised to the upside and Chinese stocks have spiked.
    • A fundamental analysis shows that Chinese stocks are still 50% undervalued.
    • The Chinese economy is less risky and growing faster, but the market hasn’t yet fully recognized the situation which makes this the best time to invest.

    Introduction

    One of the greatest fears circulating the investing environment in the last few years has been that China is about to slow down and drag the whole world into negative territory. I found such a fear a bit silly because it wasn’t based on proper macroeconomic analysis but mostly on western investors’ perception. More →

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