International Diversification

  • 12 Oct
    The Best Way To Invest In India

    The Best Way To Invest In India

    • Indian economic, demographic, and social factors indicate a China-like boom for the country.
    • Indian equities aren’t that cheap at the moment, but look cheap given the potential.
    • There is another option: buy cheap stocks of companies that are exposed to India.

    Introduction

    The U.S. stock market has been one of the best performing stock markets globally in the last 50 years. Its best performance was from 1980 to 2000 when the market went from 100 points to 1500 points creating a 15 bagger (increasing your investment 15 times), and all this without calculating dividends. More →

  • 28 Sep
    Earnings Season Is Approaching. Are You Ready?

    Earnings Season Is Approaching. Are You Ready?

    • Earnings will decline for the sixth consecutive quarter.
    • We question the 2017 forecasted earnings growth based purely on higher oil prices.
    • We’ll take a look at what can be done to limit your risks and increase returns.

    Introduction

    What we know is that for the last 5 quarters, the S&P 500 has had declining earnings. The situation doesn’t seem to change course for the next quarter, but most analysts expect earnings growth to come in 2017 as a result of a rebound in energy prices.

    As our readers know, this rebound should have already happened six months ago according to the same analysts’ expectations. In this article we’ll tell their story, but we’ll also analyze what else is out there that can influence future earnings. More →

  • 29 Aug
    If You’re Thinking About Global Diversification, You Should Read This

    If You’re Thinking About Global Diversification, You Should Read This

    • The developed world is depending, and will continue to depend, more and more on the developing world.
    • The focus of productivity and GDP growth is in Asia.
    • The U.S. is the only country with trade deficits since 1976.

    Introduction

    Nobody knows where the market will go in the next week, month, or year, but what can give investors an edge is to look at macro trends that are bound to influence economies and returns on investments.

    In this article we are going to analyze productivity and trade balances among the most important global economic powers, and try to derive a long term trend from it in order to improve the international exposure in our portfolios. More →

  • 19 Aug
    The U.S. Dollar: Should You Stick To It Or Diversify Now?

    The U.S. Dollar: Should You Stick To It Or Diversify Now?

    • The dollar has been positively correlated with stocks for the last 4 years which is unusual.
    • Potential FED interest rate increases don’t make international diversification a great idea right now.
    • Any sign of a U.S. recession should be a good time to think about international diversification with emerging markets.

    Introduction

    On big news sites like Bloomberg you often come across headlines related to the movement of the U.S. dollar. The headline below is a good example. More →

  • 16 Aug
    Emerging Markets Are Hot – Here Is Where You Should Put Your Money

    Emerging Markets Are Hot – Here Is Where You Should Put Your Money

    • Emerging markets are up 10% since our last article on the subject, but the FED’s rate action might quickly erase the gains.
    • Valuations are starting to diverge, but don’t fight the trend.
    • Keep an eye on China as it is relatively undervalued and still boosts economic growth of 6.7%.

    Introduction

    In May we discussed how emerging markets have been rediscovered but are still undervalued. Since then, the emerging markets ETF is up 10%. More →

  • 04 Aug
    Forget The News: If You’re Not Exposed to China, You Should Be. Find Out Why.

    Forget The News: If You’re Not Exposed to China, You Should Be. Find Out Why.

    • Don’t be scared by the news, China is growing strong and has incredible future prospects.
    • Temporary bumps are and will continue to be normal.
    • Portfolio diversification with China is essential for increased returns in the future.

    Introduction 

    Exactly a year ago fears around slower economic growth in China, the Yuan devaluation, and oil prices below $40 were the main catalyst for a market correction. The S&P 500 fell from 2102 points on August 17, 2015 to 1867 points on August 25, 2015. More →

  • 15 Jul
    Could It Be A Good Idea To Invest In Japan? There’s Upside Potential…

    Could It Be A Good Idea To Invest In Japan? There’s Upside Potential…

    • Price to book is 1.1 and price earnings ratio is at 15.
    • More monetary and fiscal stimulus can be expected.
    • Even if the economy doesn’t pick up Japan is relatively cheap.

    Introduction

    We read a lot about how Japan has been in an economic slump for the past 30 years, how incredibly large amounts of quantitative easing have not triggered inflation, and that Japan should be avoided as an investment opportunity. More →

  • 16 May
    Investing Down Under

    Investing Down Under

    • Australia has a stable and transparent economy, is rich in natural resources and the AUD currently looks cheap.
    • The Australian stock index consists of mostly financials but all have excellent ratings.
    • Only 0.09% of the S&P 500 revenues are generated in Australia therefore Australia provides additional international diversification.

    Introduction

    Australia is a country with a population of approximately 23.5 million people, highly developed with a GDP of $47,186 per capita, low unemployment rate of 6.1% and low government debt at 35% of GDP (US 125.3% of GDP). The long term interest rate is at 1.75% and the country is ranked in 13th place on the global doing business list. The Australian economy grew 3% in 2015 and it is dominated by the service sector representing 68%, followed by the mining sector that represents 7% of the economy. The above seems stable and therefore this article is going to provide an analysis about the potential risks and rewards of investing in Australia. More →

  • 22 Apr
    On International Diversification

    On International Diversification

    • Markets are more correlated in the short term but strongly diverge in the long term.
    • Currency movements further fuel international divergence.
    • Being overweight a certain market or currency means carrying additional risks that could be removed by international diversification.

    Introduction

    One issue that is more often off than on investors’ minds is international diversification. Historically, cross-country equity correlations have been far from perfect but they are becoming more correlated in recent times. The higher correlation is not a reason to shun international diversification. More →

1 2 3 4 5