Investiv Daily

  • 08 Aug
    Are Stocks & Bonds In A Bubble? Sven Thinks So…

    Are Stocks & Bonds In A Bubble? Sven Thinks So…

    • Earnings have been growing in the last 12 months, but haven’t grown that much over the last 20 years.
    • Even the Swiss central bank owns almost $3 billion worth of Apple’s stock.
    • After the dot-com and the housing bubbles, school books will talk about the central bank bubble in the future.

    Introduction

    All we see right now is the stock market continuing to go up. The S&P 500 is already up 9.7% year to date, and there is no sign that the trend might weaken or reverse. Over the last 8 and a half years, the index is up 242%. More →

  • 07 Aug
    Palladium Is On The Rise, But Is It Worth The Investment?

    Palladium Is On The Rise, But Is It Worth The Investment?

    • Palladium has been in a deficit for the past 6 years and it’s expected to remain in a deficit for the foreseeable future.
    • Palladium is both a precious metal and an industrial metal which has its pros and cons.
    • I’ll describe a few potential ways to invest in palladium.

    Introduction

    When someone mentions precious metals, the first metal that comes to my mind is gold. However, there are other precious metals and one of them is palladium.

    Palladium, platinum, rhodium, ruthenium, iridium, and osmium form a group of elements referred to as the platinum group metals (PGMs). More →

  • 06 Aug
    Sunday Edition: Starbucks Addict? Don’t Buy The Dip

    Sunday Edition: Starbucks Addict? Don’t Buy The Dip

    I have a confession to make. I used to be a Starbucks addict.

    A few years ago, I was never without my venti iced non-fat 16-pump chai tea latte with extra extra ice. The baristas at my local store knew me by name and even went so far as to ask if I was ok if I showed up late or if I showed up more than twice a day. They even followed my dog on Instagram.

    I was addicted to a point that when there was a forest fire one summer that stopped my preferred Starbucks store from getting its chai concentrate delivered, I went online and bought all of the chai concentrate I could afford from starbucks.com with delivery by next day air. More →

  • 04 Aug
    Think The Biggest Companies Of The S&P 500 Will Outperform? History Says Otherwise

    Think The Biggest Companies Of The S&P 500 Will Outperform? History Says Otherwise

    • The strongest companies in the S&P 500 may look invincible now, but history shows us this won’t last forever.
    • None of the companies in the S&P 500’s 1980 top 10 are still there now.
    • Top 10 S&P 500 companies largely underperform the S&P 500 in the long term.

    Introduction

    Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL), Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT), Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN), and Johnson & Johnson (NYSE: JNJ) are the 5 largest holdings of the S&P 500 accounting for 11.74% of the index. The other 495 companies account for 88.26% of the S&P 500 which is a pretty strong imbalance, but that’s how the S&P 500 is formed. Its weightings are based on market capitalization. The bigger the market capitalization, the bigger the weighting in the index. More →

  • 03 Aug
    This Is What To Watch For When Thinking About Investing In Junior Gold Miners

    This Is What To Watch For When Thinking About Investing In Junior Gold Miners

    • There are many risks—ranging from political risks to meteorological—to keep in mind with junior gold miners. I’ll describe some of them to give you a better picture of what can happen.
    • However, the negative attitude towards junior miners also provides excellent investing opportunities.
    • We’ll look at what makes the stock price of a gold miner move and how to recognize the pattern.

    Introduction

    The VanEck Vectors Junior Gold Miners UCITS ETF (NYSEARCA: GDXJ) has gone through some significant restructuring in the last few months because it was getting too big. The ETF simply had too much in the way of funds to continue buying stocks of junior gold miners (market capitalization below $2 billion), and had to increase the threshold by including gold miners that have a higher market cap. More →

  • 02 Aug
    Want To Invest In The Indian Economic Boom? It Isn’t Easy, But Sven Shows You How It’s Possible

    Want To Invest In The Indian Economic Boom? It Isn’t Easy, But Sven Shows You How It’s Possible

    • Investing in India isn’t easy as many Indian investments won’t benefit from Indian growth.
    • Indian ETFs won’t benefit either while valuations are a bit high.
    • There is a third option.

    Introduction

    If you read yesterday’s article on economic growth projections per country, you know that India has an unmatched position in the world. It has a young and more eager population, a huge labor cost advantage, relatively good education, a low starting point, and issues that can be resolved like corruption and a large geography.

    The country is growing at around 7% per year and is expected to continue to continue growing at that rate for the next few decades. There will of course be ups and downs, but the long term trend is extremely strong. More →

  • 01 Aug
    Want The Secret Formula For Economic Success? Look To Ray Dalio

    Want The Secret Formula For Economic Success? Look To Ray Dalio

    • It’s possible to estimate a country’s economic growth with precision and I have done so in this article. Perhaps it’s better to say that I used the available—and free—research done by 1,500 Bridgewater employees.
    • As future economic trends are pretty clear, it’s important to position one’s portfolio accordingly.
    • However, don’t just jump into emerging markets at any price. Compare the fundamentals and the growth in relation to your investment horizon.

    Introduction

    There’s a lot of talk about economics, economic growth, what drives it, etc., but there aren’t many facts that properly show links between causes and effects.

    One person who researched those links and shared the findings is Ray Dalio, hedge fund manager of Bridgewater Associates. In today’s article, I’ll describe what Ray found and then analyze how we can best position our portfolios in order to be more exposed to positive forces and less to negative forces. More →

  • 31 Jul
    Europe Is Verging On Communism. Investors Beware.

    Europe Is Verging On Communism. Investors Beware.

    • I’ll describe what communism is and how close Europe is to it.
    • I’ll analyze the implications the current monetary environment will have on investments in Europe and the European currency.
    • You can’t compete with a European company that borrows at negative interest rates.

    Introduction

    Now, the title of today’s article is a pretty heavy statement, but let’s look at the definition of communism and what’s currently going on in Europe to see how far Europe is from actually being communist. More →

  • 30 Jul
    Sunday Edition: Tesla’s Price Has Fallen, But This Isn’t A Buying Opportunity Yet

    Sunday Edition: Tesla’s Price Has Fallen, But This Isn’t A Buying Opportunity Yet

    It’s finally here.

    Friday night, Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) handed over the keys to the first 30 Model 3s.

    This much-hyped foray into mass-market territory could prove to be a true game changer for the company when, and if, the Model 3 reaches profitability.

    However, if you thought the Model 3 finally hitting the streets would send Tesla’s stock on a tear after a few weeks in a downtrend, well, I have some bad news for you as the technical picture says otherwise. More →

    By Kristina Keene Investiv Daily Sunday Edition Tesla
  • 28 Jul
    Miss Out On The Rise In Cobalt & Lithium? Here’s Another Metal To Keep An Eye On

    Miss Out On The Rise In Cobalt & Lithium? Here’s Another Metal To Keep An Eye On

    • Nickel is used in Tesla’s batteries, but its price hasn’t surged like cobalt or lithium has.
    • Supply is expected to be stable while more electric vehicle production could increase demand by 20% per year.
    • A long period of low investments, higher demand alongside stable supply could lead to a spike in nickel prices.

    Introduction

    When most people think about batteries and their composition, they mostly think about lithium as batteries are called “lithium-ion batteries.” However, lithium is only one of the metals that goes into a battery. The approximate amount of lithium used in a Tesla Model S battery pack is 63kg of a 453 kg battery. So there is another 390kg to address. A look at what other metals are used to make batteries for electric vehicles will give us interesting investing ideas. More →

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