Investiv Daily

  • 13 Oct
    How To Spot The Big Trends Of The Future

    How To Spot The Big Trends Of The Future

    • In the short term, the market is heavily influenced by new information and noise.
    • In the long term, there are clear trends that can give you an edge to beat the market.
    • We’ll discuss a few trends that are clear but that will take time to develop.

    Introduction

    Some argue that the market is efficient and prices always reflect available information. The Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH) was developed by Chicago School of Economics Professor Eugene Fama who was also awarded a Nobel prize for his findings in 2013. Implications of the EMH are that it is impossible to beat the market consistently on a risk-adjusted basis since market prices only react to new information or changes in discount rates. More →

  • 12 Oct
    The Best Way To Invest In India

    The Best Way To Invest In India

    • Indian economic, demographic, and social factors indicate a China-like boom for the country.
    • Indian equities aren’t that cheap at the moment, but look cheap given the potential.
    • There is another option: buy cheap stocks of companies that are exposed to India.

    Introduction

    The U.S. stock market has been one of the best performing stock markets globally in the last 50 years. Its best performance was from 1980 to 2000 when the market went from 100 points to 1500 points creating a 15 bagger (increasing your investment 15 times), and all this without calculating dividends. More →

  • 11 Oct
    Under 30? How To Invest Now For Incredible Future Returns

    Under 30? How To Invest Now For Incredible Future Returns

    • This post is essential reading for young investors, while also valuable for investors of any age. If you’re a more mature investor, pass this along to your kids or grandchildren.
    • Investing regularly month after month is going to get you a long way.
    • The younger you start, the better. As life expectancy is getting longer and longer, if you are under 50, you can still grasp the benefits of investing in stocks for the long term.
    • As the current market looks overvalued, don’t be afraid to start dollar cost averaging. Follow along with Investiv Daily for great investment choices.

    Introduction

    An essential concept in investing often shunned by mainstream media is connecting your investment strategy with your specific goals. The majority of the content we see is about one investment type, i.e. stocks, bonds, gold or real estate.

    All investment tools have their pros and cons which are emphasized when we specify the age and goal of the investor. Today we’ll discuss why investing in stocks is essential for young investors, and a low risk way for doing so. More →

  • 10 Oct
    You Might Want To Sell Your Dividend Yielders…

    You Might Want To Sell Your Dividend Yielders…

    • Fundamentals aren’t the reason behind your dividend yielders’ excellent performances.
    • Yields have marginally increased and the impact on dividend stocks is significant.
    • Do you think about risk when thinking about dividend income?

    Introduction

    A chase for yields has pushed the price of dividend yielding stocks to extreme levels.

    Looking at the S&P 500 Low Volatility High Dividend Index—which tracks the performance of the 50 least-volatile high dividend-yielding stocks in the S&P 500—you can see it has almost been a four bagger (3.7x) since the Great Recession, growing from 1,720 points to its current 6,395 points. More →

  • 09 Oct
    Sunday Edition: The Most Important Pattern In A Bear Market Bottom

    Sunday Edition: The Most Important Pattern In A Bear Market Bottom

    Over the last several months we’ve focused on sharing with you several of the fundamental metrics Thomas Moore uses to identify deeply undervalued companies on which to sell put options to generate income. We hope they’ve been beneficial.

    In today’s Sunday Edition I’m certain to draw a lot of skepticism from those “purists” who believe that markets are both efficient and driven exclusively by the fundamentals.

    On the other hand, if you believe that markets are not only irrational but are driven by psychology and what some like to refer to as “animal spirits,”  then you might appreciate what I share over the next several weeks in these Sunday Editions. More →

  • 07 Oct
    Oil & Gold Are Speculation Plays At The Moment, Are You Up For It?

    Oil & Gold Are Speculation Plays At The Moment, Are You Up For It?

    • The long term trend for oil is clear, but short term moves make it a great trading asset.
    • Gold is in a decline as the global economy looks stable and yields are slowly increasing.
    • A quality miner with dollar cost averaging might be the best gold diversification option.

    Introduction

    Two indicators that can give us insight into how the global economy is doing are gold and oil.

    Estimations from various analysts are all over the place for both commodities, some say gold will be at $1,900 in a year or two and oil at $100 while some see oil below $30 or even worthless and gold at $800. What will happen is anyone’s guess as the factors that will influence the outcomes are as yet unknown. As an example, nobody knows if Russia or Iran are going to increase oil output or if additional supply from U.S. shale will be enough to push prices down again. Nevertheless, a look at price movements from the two commodities can give us some interesting insights into the short term expectations and aid  us in the assessment of risk. More →

  • 06 Oct
    Is Your Brain Wired For Investing?

    Is Your Brain Wired For Investing?

    • Recency bias, probability neglect and aversion loss are just a few of the concepts that we, as humans, find difficult to avoid in our investing.
    • The average U.S. investor underperformed the market by 7.4% per year in the last 30 years as a result of taking action under the influence of emotions.
    • Fundamentals, valuations and dollar cost averaging can help you put your emotions aside.

    Introduction

    Today we’ll discuss how humans aren’t really mentally prepared for investing. We are wired to survive in the woods with a freeze, fight or flight system, which has nothing do to with the markets. There is no threat of death when it comes to investing in the markets. More →

  • 05 Oct
    How Investing In Food Now Can Make A Difference

    How Investing In Food Now Can Make A Difference

    • Food is a delicate subject as it is a matter of life and death.
    • Food prices are influenced by weather conditions which work in 2-5 year cycles, but the market only looks at short term supply and demand balances.
    • By investing in food when prices are low and selling when prices are high, you do good by bringing balance to the food market which is essential for eliminating hunger and creating a sustainable global food ecosystem.

    Introduction

    Today we’re discussing a delicate topic: food and investing in it. More →

  • 04 Oct
    Market Clues From The Short Term Credit Cycle

    Market Clues From The Short Term Credit Cycle

    • Comparing the current credit cycle with the last two may tell us exactly how close we are to a recession.
    • As productivity growth is slowing down, credit is the only thing keeping the economy up.

    Introduction 

    How often do you think of what happened during the Great Recession?

    Exactly 9 years ago, the S&P 500 was around 1500 points and everything seemed fine, and headlines looked like this: More →

  • 03 Oct
    Mexico May Be Overvalued, But There’s Still Opportunity

    Mexico May Be Overvalued, But There’s Still Opportunity

    • Mexico has economic potential, but potential isn’t enough for investing success.
    • The valuations and economic ties to the U.S. don’t make Mexico a good international diversification play.
    • Some interesting U.S. recession-proof investing options can be found.

    Introduction

    Mexico was a hot topic of last week’s presidential debate. Politics is noise, so in this article we’ll instead focus on the fundamentals of investing in Mexico, the county’s economy, future prospects, potential risks, and demographics in order to provide you with the best hard data-based overview of Mexican investment opportunities. More →

    By Sven Carlin Investiv Daily Mexico
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