Investiv Daily

  • 14 Jul
    The Market Isn’t Excited About Brazil Yet. Here’s Why You Should Be.

    The Market Isn’t Excited About Brazil Yet. Here’s Why You Should Be.

    • The Brazilian economy is at a turning point. Inflation is down, exports are up, and growth is projected to be at 2%.
    • As currencies follow the economy, the stronger real will add a tailwind to your returns.
    • Don’t invest blindly in an ETF. Buying a few stocks will lower your risk and increase your returns.

    Introduction

    I have written about Brazil a few times here at Investiv Daily, and have primarily described the potential of the country. This article isn’t about potential because the situation has started to turn, so it’s time to really take advantage of the new trend. More →

  • 13 Jul
    This Is What Could Happen To Berkshire Hathaway After Buffett

    This Is What Could Happen To Berkshire Hathaway After Buffett

    • BRK’s companies aren’t reliant on Buffett when it comes to their performance.
    • Buffett leaving leads to two uncertainties, but the outcome of both are positive.
    • The power of BRK lies in the quality of its businesses and huge cash pile. At this point, even an idiot at the helm of BRK would do well.

    Introduction

    One of the biggest concerns surrounding Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE: BRK.A, BRK.B) is what will happen after Buffett and Munger.

    To keep our karma positive, I’ll write this article under the assumption that Buffett gets an offer from Bill Gates to be the project manager of Microsoft’s (NASDAQ: MSFT) new multi-billion virtual reality Bridge game project. I think something like this could make Buffett leave BRK as I wish him many more decades of health. More →

  • 12 Jul
    Want A Higher Return With Less Risk? This Company Is A Better “Buy & Forget It” Investment Than The S&P 500

    Want A Higher Return With Less Risk? This Company Is A Better “Buy & Forget It” Investment Than The S&P 500

    • Berkshire Hathaway offers similar diversification, a better book value, higher growth, and it doesn’t do stupid buybacks.
    • Share this article with those you know who are heavily invested in the S&P 500 and are buy and forget it investors, they’ll appreciate this and it might change their lives.

    Introduction

    The predominant investing paradigm is to invest in the S&P 500 because of its low risk and  good diversification, and because it has done well in the past. Given this, most buy and forget investors simply put their money into the S&P 500.

    Now, what if there was an investment that offered the same level of diversification, less risk, and a higher return? It would be logical for the buy and forget it investor to immediately invest in such an investment vehicle. More →

  • 11 Jul
    Investing In This Sector Is Boring, But It Can Make You Rich

    Investing In This Sector Is Boring, But It Can Make You Rich

    • Utilities offer stability, inflationary protection, high yields, and less risk than the market.
    • However, utilities aren’t all equal and a lot depends on their debt levels.
    • A look at what’s offered around the globe shows that there are higher yields with strong potential currency tailwinds in Brazil and Australia.

    Introduction

    The usual saying is that defensive investing won’t make you rich quickly but it can make you well-off over a longer period of time. Utilities are an excellent investment for those who don’t like get rich quick schemes and prefer to see their wealth slowly but steadily grow over time and give them inflationary protection.

    In today’s article, I’ll discuss the benefits and risks of investing in utilities, how to approach them, how to find good investments, and I’ll discuss a few ideas. More →

  • 10 Jul
    The FED & ECB Meeting Minutes Explained

    The FED & ECB Meeting Minutes Explained

    • Financial markets are very dependent on Central Bank activity.
    • The FED is slowly tightening, but the activity is more a façade than actual tightening. Europe is still easing.
    • The fact is that things will eventually change. When? Nobody knows. The only thing a savvy investor can do is protect themselves and take advantage of everything.

    Introduction

    Many don’t see that the current market is highly influenced by Central Banks.

    In the past 8 years, Central Banks have been continually putting money into the system. The FED has recently stopped doing so, but the ECB is still buying bonds, even corporate bonds, while the Bank of Japan has bought almost everything they can buy. So, it’s clear that high current asset prices are a direct result of Central Bank actions as the fundamentals haven’t really improved as much as asset prices have increased.

    The long-term picture is relatively easy to understand, but I must say, I was surprised by the short-term correlations between Central Bank activity and stock prices. More →

  • 09 Jul
    Sunday Edition: This 3D Printer Manufacturer Just Gave Us Another Buying Opportunity

    Sunday Edition: This 3D Printer Manufacturer Just Gave Us Another Buying Opportunity

    Back in April, I wrote about 3D Systems (NYSE: DDD) and a technical pattern on its chart that indicated the stock was about to begin a new uptrend that could see the stock price rising 168% or more.

    The technical pattern discussed in the article—which is available here—was the contracting triangle, a continuation pattern that indicated that once the price broke out of the pattern, a new uptrend would begin for DDD.

    So where is DDD today? Well, by the first week of May, not even two weeks after writing about the stock, the price had broken out of the contracting triangle pattern and was beginning a new uptrend. Within days of the breakout, the price rose nearly 40%.

    But if you’re reading this and kicking yourself for not buying DDD back then, I have good news for you. More →

  • 07 Jul
    What We Can Learn From Seth Klarman’s Current Portfolio

    What We Can Learn From Seth Klarman’s Current Portfolio

    • You might call them boring businesses, but with a bit of portfolio rebalancing and buying more on the dips, Klarman’s positions will probably deliver his required 20% return per year over the long term.
    • In the U.S., he is overweigh LNG, refineries, communications, and pharma.
    • A few investing lessons can be derived from his current portfolio.

    Introduction

    As much as I hate bureaucracy and filing required market regulator forms and various statistical Central Bank inquiries, I must say that I love when others do it as I can get a pretty tasty free lunch from it.

    You probably know that an institutional fund manager has to disclose their U.S. portfolio positions in a 13F form no longer than 45 days after the end of the quarter with some exceptions. For example, when the manager thinks that disclosure would significantly affect share price, they can postpone disclosing, but we can get a pretty good picture of the things a specific fund is doing. More →

  • 06 Jul
    The Only Way To Invest In The Automotive Sector Today

    The Only Way To Invest In The Automotive Sector Today

    • Automotive stocks are best bought in a recession. I’ll explain how patience pays off.
    • There are no indications of a recession, but car sales have already reached their ceiling.
    • However, a new trend is booming and you may want to expose your portfolio to it.

    Introduction

    The automotive industry is a perfect example of sector cyclicality. What’s important for us investors is that cyclicality offers great investment opportunities. However, a lot of patience is necessary as such opportunities usually only arise once in a decade and only when there is a recession.

    If we take a look at Ford’s (NYSE: F) stock price over the last 30 years, we can see how stock price dips coincide with economic recessions. The stock was the cheapest in 1991, 2002, 2008, and 2012 when there was a recession in Europe. More →

  • 05 Jul
    Where The Growth Is: How To Invest In Emerging Markets

    Where The Growth Is: How To Invest In Emerging Markets

    • Emerging markets haven’t been the best investment in the last 10 years, but economic developments met expectations.
    • Long term analysis shows that emerging markets have just started to develop and the fundamentals are extremely cheap for the expected growth.
    • Each emerging market is different and one has to individually analyze political, currency, demographic, natural, and other risks in order to make proper investment decisions.

    Introduction

    There is a huge difference between short-term and long-term effects on financial markets.

    In the short term, anything can happen and sentiment is what mostly drives short term trends. If we take a look at the long-term chart for the iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (NYSEARCA: EEM), we can see how it’s still 24% below its 2007 peak. More →

  • 04 Jul
    Why Yesterday’s Retirement Investing Advice Won’t Work In Today’s Environment

    Why Yesterday’s Retirement Investing Advice Won’t Work In Today’s Environment

    • Common retirement investing advice worked ok in the past, but could have been much better.
    • Why would you sell stocks that you bought a long time ago, and that are still growing and paying dividend, to buy bonds that yield less than inflation?
    • Over the long term, little differences amount to a huge difference. Take responsibility for your retirement.

    Introduction

    The common advice on retirement investing is to be overweight stocks when you are far from retirement and then overweight bonds when you are closer to retirement. Some funds offer target date retirement funds that have such a portfolio allocation.

    Vanguard’s target retirement funds invest up to 90% in stocks when you are more than 25 years from retirement, and then lower that exposure to about 50% when you retire. 7 years into retirement, you have 70% of your portfolio in bonds. More →

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