Investiv Daily

  • 22 Jun
    Don’t be Fooled by Noise, Earnings Will Tell the Truth

    Don’t be Fooled by Noise, Earnings Will Tell the Truth

    • A look into next month’s earnings season and trends.
    • 6 out of 10 S&P sectors have earnings declining.
    • 72% of companies issued negative guidance.

    Introduction

    With all eyes focused on Brexit and the FED, it seems that no one really cares what is going on in the economy and, most importantly, with corporate earnings. Don’t forget that next month is earnings season and the earnings trend up until now has been a negative one. As corporate earnings are the main factor in stock returns, you should be focusing on how to prepare for that and not on Brexit as it will probably be forgotten by next week. More →

  • 21 Jun
    Soros is Back and Betting Heavy On Gold

    Soros is Back and Betting Heavy On Gold

    • Structural debt issues in China and European fragility will limit global growth.
    • Soros is overweight gold and short the S&P 500.
    • He trimmed his U.S. stock portfolio by 37%.

    Introduction

    George Soros is an Hungarian-born, 85-years young hedge fund manager and philanthropist famous for his daring investment bets. More →

  • 20 Jun
    Dividend Aristocrats: Should You Buy?

    Dividend Aristocrats: Should You Buy?

    • Stock picking amid dividend aristocrats should give even better results.
    • Dividend aristocrats come from recession-proof industry sectors.
    • PE ratios vary from 11 to 155 and dividend yields from 0.4% to 6.5%.

    Introduction

    A company receives the title of ‘dividend aristocrat’ when it has continuously increased its dividend for the last 25 or more years. This means that the company manages to go through recessions and market shocks with a growing, healthy cash flow that enables constant dividend increases. More →

  • 17 Jun
    Is Global Recession On Its Way? Brexit May Be A Warning Sign…

    Is Global Recession On Its Way? Brexit May Be A Warning Sign…

    • Global GDP growth rates are stalling even with increased monetary stimulus.
    • There are several potential recession triggers.
    • It is important to assess the risks a portfolio runs as no one can know when a recession will come, but eventually it will as it always has.

    Introduction

    The main FED goals are sustainable economic growth and full employment. In order to achieve those goals, the FED has decided not to increase interest rates as the economy is still relatively weak and employment has been slowing down. Not only that, but the expectation of future interest rate increases has been revised downwards. More →

  • 16 Jun
    Time To Get Smart About Stock Picking – Find Out Why

    Time To Get Smart About Stock Picking – Find Out Why

    • An aging population diminishes GDP growth and US GDP growth is bound to further decline.
    • Fertility rates are at an historical minimum and the labor force participation is falling.
    • Corporate earnings growth is correlated to GDP growth.

    Introduction

    One of the worries for the stock market apart from interest rates and a slump in commodity prices is baby boomers retiring and selling their stocks in order to fund retirement. As the fertility rate is falling, the worry is that there will be less people standing in line to buy those shares. More →

    By Sven Carlin FED Investiv Daily
  • 15 Jun
    If Stocks Are Risky, What About Bonds?

    If Stocks Are Risky, What About Bonds?

    • Yields should be the main factor when choosing whether to invest in bonds or stocks.
    • As yields cannot go much lower, bonds become risky too.
    • Historically any significant increase in bond yields brings to negative returns.

    Introduction

    It is almost common knowledge that in the long term stocks outperform bonds as bonds are less risky and therefore have lower yields. But if we look at the question from the title of this article from a long term perspective where stocks always outperform, then there is no risk in investing in stocks as eventually you will be rewarded with higher returns. And this is exactly the current market’s perception on the stocks vs. bonds issue. More →

    By Sven Carlin Bonds Investiv Daily Stocks
  • 14 Jun
    Big Returns on Silver Could Be at the Finish Line, But Are You In for the Wild Ride?

    Big Returns on Silver Could Be at the Finish Line, But Are You In for the Wild Ride?

    • Silver is both a precious metal and a commodity, which makes it a very interesting investment.
    • Silver prices jumped 26% year to date and the market has been in a deficit for 3 years.
    • In the long term, silver will continue to be very volatile but might present excellent investment opportunities for brave investors.

    Introduction

    Silver is a special metal as it is considered both a precious metal and an industrial commodity. Silver is used for solar panels, water filtration, jewelry, electrical contacts and conductors, LCD screens, x-rays, disinfectants and for other various applications. This makes silver have, unlike gold, a pragmatic use influencing the demand for the metal. More →

  • 13 Jun
    Do You Feel 50% Richer than 7 Years Ago?

    Do You Feel 50% Richer than 7 Years Ago?

    • US net worth has been increasing due to asset price inflation.
    • Asset price inflation has been influenced more by cheap money and less by GDP that has been growing on debt based consumer spending.
    • As the FED is out of firepower to protect the markets and the economy from any shocks they have no downside cushion.

    Introduction

    On June 9 the FED released its quarterly Financial Accounts of the United States. The report shows the total of accounts for various things, from net household worth, debt per segment, consumer spending to the general flow of funds. Unlike the usual newspaper that focuses on easy to reproduce single pieces of information, this 196-page report gives a clear picture of what is going on in the US economy, the developing trends and therefore has to be well understood by anyone who has an interest in the US economy. More →

    By Sven Carlin FED Investiv Daily US Economy
  • 10 Jun
    Global Smartphone Growth Isn’t Done Yet – Should You Invest?

    Global Smartphone Growth Isn’t Done Yet – Should You Invest?

    • The smartphone trend is bound to continue as 25% of the world has low penetration levels.
    • 2015 was stellar in growth so it is logical that 2016 will be somewhat slower.
    • Valuations are really cheap when compared to the general market.

    Introduction

    The smartphone industry is not only interesting because it includes the biggest company by market capitalization (Apple – NASDAQ: AAPL) but also because it is in a global growing trend and has low valuations. This article is going to provide an overview of the industry and its two biggest players. More →

  • 09 Jun
    Forget About The November Elections – This Will Impact Your Investments Even More

    Forget About The November Elections – This Will Impact Your Investments Even More

    • Slower global growth will have a much stronger impact on corporate earnings than interest rate increases.
    • US productivity is declining and GDP growth is based on increased consumption amidst cheap financing.
    • Corporate earnings are the source of your investment returns, and the picture is not one of growth.

    Introduction

    Amid all the fuss around interest rates, Yellen, jobs, Clinton and Trump there is one piece of information that is very significant for investors but is often disregarded. More →

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