ECB

  • 21 May
    Here’s Why You Should Stop Chasing Returns & Focus On Managing Risk Instead

    Here’s Why You Should Stop Chasing Returns & Focus On Managing Risk Instead

    • Despite rising inflation, copper prices have been declining.
    • Higher interest rates are putting pressure on emerging markets and their $19 trillion of debt.
    • However, the best investing opportunities usually arise when things aren’t good.



    Introduction

    I was really bullish on copper when it was around $2 per pound a year ago, but now I’m not that bullish anymore as it is above $3. More →

  • 18 May
    Financial Markets Are Rigged & The Whole Economy Is Fake

    Financial Markets Are Rigged & The Whole Economy Is Fake

    • Low interest rates have created a unique situation.
    • Economies are fake because you don’t know what’s real value or smoke.
    • What you should do might surprise you as to play along isn’t such a bad idea.



    Introduction

    Something that’s easy to forget is that the current financial environment is rigged and not many discuss this because it’s done in a legal way.

    In today’s article, I want to quickly explain what has been going on in the financial environment over the last decade and how natural market forces are distorted in order to increase asset prices and enable the economy we live in to continue as it has for at least a while longer. More →

  • 14 May
    Can You Hear The Economic Warning Bells Ringing?

    Can You Hear The Economic Warning Bells Ringing?

    A quick investment perspective on the current economic news will give us insight into what to do with our portfolio, what the best risk reward portfolio allocation is at this point in time, and what one can expect to happen.

    I’ll look at U.S. economic data, emerging market yields, and touch on Italy which is becoming a bigger and bigger risk.



    Economic Data – Strong, But Also Weak

    The headline consumer price index came in at 2.5% which is good, but might lead to higher interest rates which is a dance that has to stop at some point. More →

  • 23 Apr
    This Market Is Getting Crazy – Here’s How Buffett Says To Invest In It

    This Market Is Getting Crazy – Here’s How Buffett Says To Invest In It

    • We’ll discuss some news first, including commodity prices, chip guidance, and covenant ratios.
    • Then we’ll put things into perspective and see what an investor can do in this market.
    • I’ll give you a few tools that will make investing easy for you, if you can handle them.



    Introduction

    Last week, the stock market was positive for half of the week and then negative for the remainder. More →

  • 06 Feb
    This Is What Could Keep The Stock Market From Crashing

    This Is What Could Keep The Stock Market From Crashing

    • There are scenarios that could see stocks double from current levels, no matter how crazy those scenarios might look now.
    • I’ll explain what’s going on, why, and what can you do about it.
    • No one can know exactly what will happen, so the key is to be prepared for anything.



    Introduction

    After yesterday, many are expecting a stock market crash. And by looking at what happened in 2000 and 2009, it seems pretty logical that the market will crash as things are looking ridiculous. More →

  • 22 Jan
    The Weak Dollar & Your Portfolio

    The Weak Dollar & Your Portfolio

    • It’s important to differentiate between short term currency speculation and economic trends.
    • The main global currencies don’t show long term strength.
    • You can rebalance globally, but also protect yourself by owning assets.



    Introduction

    Many were expecting an even stronger dollar going into 2018 as the U.S. economy is doing well and the FED is expected to raise rates three times in this year, if not more. However, the dollar significantly weakened in 2017. More →

  • 13 Nov
    Inflation Points To A Recession On The Horizon – Here’s What You Need To Know

    Inflation Points To A Recession On The Horizon – Here’s What You Need To Know

    • Everybody expected high inflation after 2009, but it didn’t happen. There are specific reasons for that.
    • However, higher food and energy prices are pushing inflation higher. The low unemployment rate should help too.
    • Today, I’ll discuss how to best position yourself for an inflationary environment.



    Introduction

    There is one little bell always ringing in my mind: inflation, inflation, inflation.

    From all my analysis, inflation is something that could really shock the financial world. In today’s article, I’ll first show the current inflation levels for the most important economies, and then will dig deeper into what can happen in the next few years and how could that affect your portfolio. More →

  • 16 Aug
    Why You Need To Prepare For All Hell To Break Loose

    Why You Need To Prepare For All Hell To Break Loose

    • The last stock bull market was influenced by central bank activity, that’s clear. What’s next is the question.
    • I’ll describe three potential scenarios that could impact our financial system.
    • One is good, the second is interesting, while the third is ugly.

    Introduction

    The general expectation is that the FED will start selling securities in order to tighten monetary policy, that the ECB will slowly stop buying, and that nothing will change in Japan. Nevertheless, such a situation would lead to an environment where the additional liquidity created by central banks finally dries up. As the liquidity provided by central banks is the main reason behind this bull market, should investors begin to cut their positions?

    In order to elaborate on this question, we’ll first analyze the situation, the expected situation, and then possible scenarios in order to give you the best answer on how to prepare yourself for what might happen. It’s extremely important to do so and, as you will see, it isn’t that difficult. More →

  • 08 Aug
    Are Stocks & Bonds In A Bubble? Sven Thinks So…

    Are Stocks & Bonds In A Bubble? Sven Thinks So…

    • Earnings have been growing in the last 12 months, but haven’t grown that much over the last 20 years.
    • Even the Swiss central bank owns almost $3 billion worth of Apple’s stock.
    • After the dot-com and the housing bubbles, school books will talk about the central bank bubble in the future.

    Introduction

    All we see right now is the stock market continuing to go up. The S&P 500 is already up 9.7% year to date, and there is no sign that the trend might weaken or reverse. Over the last 8 and a half years, the index is up 242%. More →

  • 26 Jul
    Central Banks Have Made The Rich Richer. Here’s How To Take Advantage.

    Central Banks Have Made The Rich Richer. Here’s How To Take Advantage.

    • Central banks have intentionally inflated asset prices that benefit those who own assets, while wages and real prices have remained equal.
    • There’s no case for being a saver. The risks are too high for miserable returns.
    • I’ll discuss three options to protect yourself and take advantage of the next quantitative easing rounds.

    Introduction

    In the last 10 years, the financial environment has changed significantly. You might not see it in your everyday life, but the 2007 environment and the environment today are hugely different. The wealth effect hasn’t really worked as Central Banks had planned and has significantly skewed asset values compared to fundamentals.

    In today’s article, I’ll describe what happened, compare it to what the previous situation was, show who benefited from the significant monetary policy market intrusions, and who will keep benefiting in the future to find ways to take advantage of the situation. More →

1 2