GDP

  • 30 Apr
    Is This The Perfect Portfolio?

    Is This The Perfect Portfolio?

    • We’ll discuss how Robert Shiller predicted the stock market bubble in the 1990s and how it resembles the current situation.
    • We’ll also discuss the perfect portfolio.



    Introduction

    I recently listened to an interview with Nobel Prize winner Robert J. Shiller on the topic of finding the perfect portfolio. It’s a very interesting subject, so I’ll summarize the interview and discuss the key concepts.

    Before we dig deeper, let me first describe a few interesting interview intros. Shiller didn’t get the Nobel Prize for nothing as he correctly identified that stocks were in a bubble in the 1990s, and that real estate was in a bubble in the 2000s. More →

  • 09 Nov
    The Economics Are Great, But Valuations Point Toward Stock Picking To Limit Risk

    The Economics Are Great, But Valuations Point Toward Stock Picking To Limit Risk

    • GDP, productivity and earnings are growing which is great news.
    • However, valuations are high and interest rates are likely to rise soon.
    • Given the variations in revenue and earnings growth, and the upcoming changes in interest rates, now may be the time to switch from index investing to stock picking.

    Introduction

    As the earnings season is almost over—and GDP, productivity and labor data is in—it’s a good time to look at what kind of conclusions can be made out of the multitude of information. By putting the noise aside (the election) and focusing on news that impacts future earnings, we’ll relate recent developments to the potential risks and rewards for your portfolio. More →

  • 01 Nov
    GDP Is Up But Stocks Are Down – How You Should Respond

    GDP Is Up But Stocks Are Down – How You Should Respond

    • Inflation is approaching 2% as the current dollar GDP has increased to 4.4%.
    • Both inflation and GDP growth will force the FED to take action – the selloff in yielding assets will continue.
    • Nondurables consumption leads to GDP growth alongside exports and inventories buildups questioning GDP growth sustainability.

    Introduction

    Last Friday, the Bureau of Economic Analysis released the GDP data for Q3 2016. At first, it looked surprisingly good with the GDP growing at an annual rate of 2.9% for the quarter. This is excellent news as it takes the economy out of its anemic growth rhythm seen in the last two years. More →

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