Mining

  • 03 Nov
    This Stock Could See A Fivefold Increase In Price, But The Risks Are Huge

    This Stock Could See A Fivefold Increase In Price, But The Risks Are Huge

    Being a value growth investor, I’d recommend a stock that has a strong margin of safety—thus little chance of permanent capital loss—while also having huge upside coming from market recognized or unrecognized catalysts.

    There are some investments out there where the potential loss is total while the potential upside is extremely high. I wouldn’t call these investments, and only would recommend one as it’s more like a bet.

    To keep things interesting, today I want to share with you such a bet by discussing a non-linear stock with out of the box thinking management, McEwen Mining (NYSE: MUX). MUX will give you a clue as to how I research potential investments and analyze their risk reward ratios.



    McEwen Mining

    MUX is a producing, developing, and exploring gold/coper miner. Currently, it produces only gold, so the market puts it into the gold miners basket. Nevertheless, it has 3 producing mines in Ontario, Mexico, and Argentina, two gold mines in development, and various exploration targets. More →

  • 02 Oct
    Iron Ore Stocks Are Hot, But Are They Really A Good Buy?

    Iron Ore Stocks Are Hot, But Are They Really A Good Buy?



    • Iron ore prices are relatively high, therefore, don’t expect earnings and dividend stability.
    • An analysis of mining costs shows the balance price for the metal. Trade iron ore miners around that balance price.
    • Vale’s mining costs per ton will go as low as $8.

    Introduction

    Iron ore miners currently being praised as stable companies with low valuations, high earnings, and dividends, has really taken me by surprise.

    But that’s how the market thinks. Short term, short term, short term, and a stock is a good buy only when it’s at multi-year highs because it’s the market performance that determines the quality, not the fundamentals. More →

  • 31 Aug
    How Things Have Quickly Changed On The Outlook For Copper

    How Things Have Quickly Changed On The Outlook For Copper

    • Everyone was negative on copper just a year ago. Today, most are positive.
    • There are two factors that help determine whether there will be a future turnaround or not for a commodity.
    • The nice thing is that all the data is easily accessible with a bit of research and a long term view.

    Introduction

    I’ve been writing about the imminent supply gap in copper for about a year and a half now. However, when I first came out with this thesis, the copper environment was extremely negative.

    The following headlines are an example of just some of the negativity surrounding copper in the last three years. More →

  • 02 Dec
    The Crazy World Of Mining Costs

    The Crazy World Of Mining Costs

    • Don’t take a description of costs for granted as they vary from miner to miner.
    • Mining costs aren’t an accounting metric, but most miners should follow the World Gold Council’s guidelines.
    • Apart from disclosure metrics, there is a metric that doesn’t deceive.

    Introduction

    As gold is getting more interesting as a buying opportunity, it’s important to identify the miners that offer the highest reward for the lowest risk. More →