Russia

  • 30 Nov
    Does It Make Sense To Invest In Russia Now?

    Does It Make Sense To Invest In Russia Now?

    • Russia is looking better and better from an economic perspective.
    • However, the risks are always there and they have to be accounted for when contemplating such an investment. I’ll share my opinion on investing into such risk reward plays.
    • Individual investments in Russia still offer opportunities.



    Introduction

    I mentioned in a recent article about international diversification that Russia is one of the cheapest markets out there when looking at fundamentals.

    In today’s article, I want to analyze the Russian market a bit more in depth to distinguish between oil and gas related cheapness and other sectors. I’ll analyze the risks and potential rewards and then conclude with what might be the best way to get exposure to such a market. More →

  • 20 Sep
    The Time Is Now To Invest In Russia

    The Time Is Now To Invest In Russia

    • The Russian economy has returned to growth and the long-term prospects are positive.
    • The combination of the relative stock market cheapness and economic upturn could lead to outsized returns.
    • The ruble could strengthen further while the current dividend yield of 5% isn’t bad at all.

    Introduction

    At the end of 2016, I wrote about how it was best to avoid Russia due to its dependency on oil, slow development and progress even if it was and still is the cheapest stock market in the world. Since then, the Russian ETF has dropped almost 20% but has currently recovered to the December 2016 level. More →

  • 25 Jul
    Is It Time To Invest In Natural Gas?

    Is It Time To Invest In Natural Gas?

    • There are many influences on natural gas in the short term, but the long term is pretty clear.
    • Despite the growth in demand, there is no supply gap expected, and thus cost and moats should be looked for in potential investments.
    • As the long-term trend is positive, it’s a good thing to buy when there is pessimism in the sector, which is usually for a relatively short period.

    Introduction

    I recently wrote an article on oil where I discussed the implications of and best timing to invest in oil. A commodity that is closely related to oil is natural gas. However, the long-term supply and demand trends are a bit different than those for oil which make natural gas an interesting long-term investment opportunity. More →

  • 27 Jun
    How To Spot A Bargain

    How To Spot A Bargain

    • Some countries are three times cheaper than the S&P 500 while one is five times cheaper.
    • I’ll describe an earnings exercise that helps in discovering bargains and give a hint on a few sectors to look at.
    • It would take the S&P 500 31 year of constant earnings growth at 5% to reach Kroger’s cumulative earnings if Kroger’s earnings just stay flat.

    Introduction

    As you probably know, the S&P 500 and many other indexes are extremely expensive. The cyclically adjusted price earnings (CAPE) ratio for the S&P 500 is 29.87, which is just about to pass the 1929 peak CAPE ratio. However, the situation isn’t much better around the world. The German stock index has a CAPE ratio of 19.6, the Dutch index 21.6, Australia 17.5, India 20.3, and Japan 24.9. These CAPE ratios of around 20 mean that you can expect investment returns of around 5% or lower in the long term.

    I find any kind of stock market return below 10% a crazy investment because the risk of owning stocks is simply too high for anything less than 10%. You might wonder where you can find double digit investment returns. Well, this is what I’m going to share in this article. More →

  • 21 Dec
    Should You Invest In Russia? Sven Tells You Why It Might Not Be Such A Good Bet

    Should You Invest In Russia? Sven Tells You Why It Might Not Be Such A Good Bet

    • The numbers make Russia the cheapest global market.
    • However, most of the market is made up of energy and financials, while normal companies are fairly priced.
    • Long term economics in Russia aren’t positive as the country is completely dependent on oil prices.

    Russia As An Investment Opportunity

    Russia has been the best performing market year-to-date and is up 50%. However, it’s still considered by many in the financial environment as one of the cheapest global markets as it’s still far from the pre-sanction and higher oil prices levels of a few years ago. More →

  • 16 Aug
    Emerging Markets Are Hot – Here Is Where You Should Put Your Money

    Emerging Markets Are Hot – Here Is Where You Should Put Your Money

    • Emerging markets are up 10% since our last article on the subject, but the FED’s rate action might quickly erase the gains.
    • Valuations are starting to diverge, but don’t fight the trend.
    • Keep an eye on China as it is relatively undervalued and still boosts economic growth of 6.7%.

    Introduction

    In May we discussed how emerging markets have been rediscovered but are still undervalued. Since then, the emerging markets ETF is up 10%. More →