Value Investing

21 Jan

Do winter storms make airlines like DAL a risky bet?

This last weekend, one of the headlines that grabbed my attention was about winter storms in the Midwest. Of course, at this time of year it doesn’t come as any kind of big surprise to hear or read about snow, cold or big storms in that part of the country; but any investor with an interest in paying attention to things that can impact the stock market should have sat up and taken notice by the accompanying report that more than 1,100 flights were cancelled out of Chicago by Saturday afternoon. More →

By Thomas Moore Airline Industry Fundamental Analysis Investiv Daily Oil Risk Transportation Value Investing
18 Jan

Is GGG a good play for the Industrial sector?

For the last couple of days, the market has been rebounding, driven primarily by what look like encouraging signs that trade talks between U.S. and China are productive and making progress. It’s a good bet that any kind of deal that eases tensions and tariffs is going to be taken as a positive sign by the markets. Yesterday the market also got an additional boost from the Philadelphia Federal Reserve’s factory index, which reversed three straight months of declines by rebounding in January. More →

By Thomas Moore Fundamental Analysis Industrial Machinery Industrials Investiv Daily Tariffs US Politics Value Investing Value Traps
16 Jan

Why MU could be the smartest semiconductor play in the market

For the last several days, I’ve been focusing on the semiconductor industry. That’s because as the market has tested bear market levels, semis have slid further than most other industries the market. That decline represents risk, because the almost overwhelming sentiment about semiconductors seems to be more and more bearish. I also think, however, that if you filter through all the angst and anxiety of that bearishness, you can find some interesting opportunities. More →

By Thomas Moore Fundamental Analysis Investiv Daily Moats Semiconductors Technology Value Investing
15 Jan

Don’t fall for the “dead cat bounce”

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The longer a market correction lasts, or extends into a prolonged bear market, the more we see stocks drop to incredibly low level versus their historical highs. The market continues to exhibit quite a bit of uncertainty, not only over global growth forecasts, but also whether the global economic slowdown, along with the deleterious effect of tariffs and trade tensions is finally starting to catch up in the United States. While it may not be a given that the market is going to turn bearish, I think that continued uncertainty is going to keep a lid on broad market upside as we move further into the year. More →

By Thomas Moore Discretionary Fundamental Analysis Investiv Daily Market Forecast Retail Risk Technical Analysis US Economy Value Investing Value Traps
14 Jan

Are small-cap semiconductors like BHE a smart bargain?

Over the last couple of days, I’ve highlighted a couple of the biggest players in the Electronic Equipment industry that supplies the entire Technology sector. I think it’s always interesting, and useful to pay attention to the industries that supply a sector with the materials, services, and manufacturing or fabrication services it relies on. Since I also consider something of a techno-nerd, that also means that stocks like KLAC, LRCX, and today’s spotlight, Benchmark Electronics Inc. (BHE) are almost always going to pique my interest. More →

By Thomas Moore Bear Market Fundamental Analysis Investiv Daily Risk Semiconductors Technology Value Investing Value Traps
11 Jan

Is LRCX a big value opportunity, or a big value trap?

Did you study the California gold rush in your high school history class? I did, and I remember that one of the most interesting things to me about it was the fact that over the seven years that marked the period, the people that made the most money weren’t prospectors; they were the entrepreneurs that flocked to the territory to sell equipment and supplies to those prospectors. As an investor, I’ve found interesting parallels to those entrepreneurs in the industries that supply the major sectors of the American economy. More →

By Thomas Moore Fibonacci Retracements Fundamental Analysis Investiv Daily Risk Semiconductors Technical Analysis Valuations Value Investing
10 Jan

KLAC is a semiconductor stock for smart value investors

When market uncertainty gives way to fear, stocks generally tend to fall, and while the market in the past week has been trying to rebound from lows in December that tested bear market territory for the major indices, the general tone has really focused more on the negative than anything else. If investors and analysts aren’t wringing their hands over trade, then it’s interest rates; and if not interest rates, then it’s global economic growth. Indications this week have mostly been positive on the trade front as officials from the U.S. and China met to discuss a trade deal. This morning, however reports that a breakthrough didn’t happen seem to be giving investors reason all over again to start worrying. More →

By Thomas Moore Fibonacci Retracements Fundamental Analysis Investiv Daily Moats Semiconductors Tariffs Value Investing
09 Jan

TRI’s bullish pattern is rare in today’s market

Since September of 2018, virtually every sector in the market has entered correction, or bear market territory. That pattern is still holding true despite the market’s rally since the beginning of the new year, and so it’s pretty rare to find a stock right now that is actually following a bullish trend. Even more rare, it seems is finding a stock in an upward trend over a more than six-month period of time, but still carries an interesting bargain argument. More →

By Thomas Moore Dividends Fundamental Analysis Investiv Daily Value Investing
08 Jan

How solid is MAN’s value proposition?

Over the last several years, one of the biggest benchmarks the Fed has used to evaluate the need to raise, lower or maintain their interest rate policy has been the employment rate. Every month, the market seems to hold its breath as a new set of unemployment and salary data is made available and everybody gets to wonder what the information means for the current economic climate and, therefore for interest rates. It seems like for the last year or so, the question has revolved around whether we’re nearing the Fed’s target for “full employment,” or are we already there? And will that force the Fed to adjust its policy about interest rates? More →

By Thomas Moore Employment Fundamental Analysis Investiv Daily Technical Analysis US Economy Value Investing
07 Jan

Is UFS a good value bet?

After closing out the year on a decidedly negative note, and leaving more and more investors guessing that 2019 could be the year the market, and the economy officially turns bearish, stocks generally rebounded over the last week. The market seems to have decided to use the market’s drop to near-bear market levels in December as a new opportunity to buy low and to start trying to build a fresh round of upward momentum. Half a dozen sectors are up more than 1% in the last week. One of those is the Materials sector, which based on the S&P 500 Materials Sector SPDR (XLB) is up 1.5% so far this year. More →

By Thomas Moore Fundamental Analysis Investiv Daily Materials Technical Analysis Value Investing