Retirement

  • 04 Jul
    Why Yesterday’s Retirement Investing Advice Won’t Work In Today’s Environment

    Why Yesterday’s Retirement Investing Advice Won’t Work In Today’s Environment

    • Common retirement investing advice worked ok in the past, but could have been much better.
    • Why would you sell stocks that you bought a long time ago, and that are still growing and paying dividend, to buy bonds that yield less than inflation?
    • Over the long term, little differences amount to a huge difference. Take responsibility for your retirement.

    Introduction

    The common advice on retirement investing is to be overweight stocks when you are far from retirement and then overweight bonds when you are closer to retirement. Some funds offer target date retirement funds that have such a portfolio allocation.

    Vanguard’s target retirement funds invest up to 90% in stocks when you are more than 25 years from retirement, and then lower that exposure to about 50% when you retire. 7 years into retirement, you have 70% of your portfolio in bonds. More →

  • 13 Apr
    Why You Should Consider Defined Benefit Pension Plans Before Investing

    Why You Should Consider Defined Benefit Pension Plans Before Investing

    • By adjusting a few percentage points on expected returns and discount rates, unfunded amounts become huge.
    • It’s essential to check the possible future pension obligations of your investments as they can easily cost you your returns. I’ll show a possible impact on General Electric.
    • If you have a defined benefit plan of any kind, don’t take it for granted. The only certain retirement income is the one you provide by yourself.

    Introduction

    A good way to see what’s going on in the pension fund industry is to analyze the 50 largest defined pension plans of the S&P 500 through Goldman Sachs’s 2016 Pension Review. More →

  • 04 Apr
    Why The Baby Boomers Could Crash The Market

    Why The Baby Boomers Could Crash The Market

    • The first baby boomers retired in 2012, but there hasn’t been a significant impact on markets yet.
    • However, in the next two decades the trend isn’t that positive and a Federal Bank of San Francisco model shows the S&P 500 will be at 900 points in 2025.
    • Many factors might mitigate boomers retiring risks, including the timing of their retirement and cashing out, foreign investments, and immigration.

    Introduction

    In the 2000s, a strong bearish argument against stocks was that from 2012 onward, baby boomers will start retiring, increasing fund retrievals and pushing stocks down. The argument has faded in the last few years as the current bull market is beating all expectations, but it’s still a good idea to see how baby boomers retiring might influence future market trends. More →

  • 09 Jan
    Sven Thinks You Can Be A Millionaire & Tells You How To Get There

    Sven Thinks You Can Be A Millionaire & Tells You How To Get There

    • Investing for the long term isn’t hard and if you avoid doing stupid things, you should expect to be a millionaire when you retire or likely even sooner.
    • Maximize your IRA as it isn’t taxed.
    • Beating the market by a few percentage points leads to staggering differences in 30 years.

    Introduction

    People usually wonder how much money they should put aside and invest in stocks. Should it be 5%, 10% or 15% of your income? Should you put any lump sums into the stock market or not?

    As most of us don’t have clear plans and goals, what happens is that investors invest more when they should invest less and nothing at all when they should go all-in.

    Today’s article will describe the expected end result from investing in stocks, how much your investments will return on average, and how to create a stable strategy in order to not make costly mistakes. More →

  • 16 Sep
    Want To Retire Comfortably? Do You Have $2,000,000?

    Want To Retire Comfortably? Do You Have $2,000,000?

    • The low yields we have now increase the amount necessary for a comfy retirement nest egg.
    • $500,000 is only estimated to last for a 13 year retirement. Most retirees will completely miss the mark.
    • Avoid risky assets no matter how tempting might the yield be.

    Introduction

    Last week we discussed the true cost of low interest rates with particular attention paid to pension funding. Many defined pension plans are underfunded, and it’s a situation that has to be dealt with now despite it being against human nature to think about a problem that will only arise in the distant future.

    On top of the problems in defined pension funds, low interest rates have a detrimental effect on general pensions and your retirement. More →

  • 07 Sep
    The High Costs Of Low Interest Rates

    The High Costs Of Low Interest Rates

    • The $3.4 trillion public retirement system funding deficit we have currently will only continue to get bigger when expected returns are lowered from science fiction levels of 7% to realistic levels of 3% to 4%.
    • Insurance companies and banks are also at risk as their business models are in jeopardy.
    • Low interest rates are good in a crisis situation, but harmful in the long run. However, politicians have hesitated globally to make changes.

    Introduction

    The fact that interest rates are low is not news. While many are discussing whether the FED will raise rates or not, few analyze what the long term costs of such an artificial environment will be.

    The environment is artificial because if it weren’t for the low rates, or negative rates in many parts of the world, there would be no lending as you don’t lend below a certain interest rate. In any case, this will have severe consequences on the economy, liquidity, inflation, banks, insurance companies, and retirement funds, and could create bubbles that will take years to deleverage. More →

  • 26 Aug
    How Dangerous Is Common Retirement Advice?

    How Dangerous Is Common Retirement Advice?

    • Things are much different than they were 10 or 20 years ago but everyone seems to follow the same retirement investing advice.
    • As retirees are in need of more security they are now forced into more risk as bonds have become riskier than stocks while also giving a lower yield.
    • If you’re looking for security, cash may be your best bet.

    Introduction

    You’ve likely heard the advice that as you get closer to retirement you should move toward having a bigger chunk of your portfolio in bonds rather than stocks. Most retirement funds are structured in that way. Vanguard Target Retirement Funds allocate 90% of assets in equities and 10% in bonds if you are going to retire between 2058 and 2062, thus 45 years from now. More →

  • 25 May
    Retirement Roll of the Dice: How to Make Portfolio Decisions In Today’s Market

    Retirement Roll of the Dice: How to Make Portfolio Decisions In Today’s Market

    • Stock have historically outperformed bonds in the long term but valuations have never been so high as today.
    • The only time in history that the S&P 500 had a higher valuation and the economy was in the growth part of a cycle was in 2000.
    • Analysts and pension funds usually buy high and sell low.

    Introduction

    One of the most discussed financial topics is the best ratio between stocks and bonds or other investments a person should have in order to retire at a certain age with enough funds to last through a long and cozy retirement. As there are many topics related to retirement this article is going to focus on the relation between stocks and retirement. More →