Tesla

21 Mar
This Industry Is About To Be Disrupted In A HUGE Way
There are three trends of huge importance in the car industry: electric drive, autonomous drive, and transport as a service.

It’s important how this could impact margins and sales.

A trend where everything becomes cheaper isn’t a trend you want to be invested in with a few exceptions.

Introduction

This past weekend, I discussed Ford from a cyclical sector perspective but there is so much going on in the automotive sector making it a much different environment from what it has been in the last 100 years.

Today, we’ll discuss what’s changing in the automotive industry and how that will impact producers over the next 10 years. The secular trends I discuss in this video are the shift from internal combustion engines to electric-powered, the shift from active-drive to autonomous, and the shift from user-owned to drive-for-hire services, think of Uber, Lyft, Didi, etc. More →
By Sven Carlin Auto Industry Investiv Daily Tesla Trends Volkswagen AG
20 Mar
The End Of Free Money Is Here – Are You Prepared?
Tesla’s equity might be worth zero.

Bitcoin is also in a downward trend, why?

There is still free money in some parts of the world.

Introduction

There’s one extremely strong wind of change blowing. The 9 year period of practically free money is ending and you should have a safe portfolio considering.

I’m going to put things into perspective by discussing Tesla, Bitcoin, tariffs on European cars, and Toys R Us. Let’s start with Tesla. More →
By Sven Carlin Bitcoin FED Interest Rates Investiv Daily Tesla
05 Oct
The Electric Vehicle Trend Will Be Explosive – Here’s How To Profit On It
The latest news surrounding the electric vehicle market is extremely positive.

However, not every related investment will do well. We’ll discuss car manufacturers, graphite, cobalt, nickel, copper, and lithium.

There’s one way to profit from the growing trend that carries little risk, is already profitable, and definitely offers high upside in the next decade.

Introduction

We all know transportation will be electric in the future. However, this doesn’t mean that every investment in the sector is a smart investment.

A great example of how investments in hot trends can work out is Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN), and this example is the best-case scenario out there. More →
By Sven Carlin Aluminum Auto Industry Cobalt Commodities Copper Graphite Investiv Daily Lithium Nickel Tesla
30 Jul

Sunday Edition: Tesla’s Price Has Fallen, But This Isn’t A Buying Opportunity Yet

It’s finally here.

Friday night, Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) handed over the keys to the first 30 Model 3s.

This much-hyped foray into mass-market territory could prove to be a true game changer for the company when, and if, the Model 3 reaches profitability.

However, if you thought the Model 3 finally hitting the streets would send Tesla’s stock on a tear after a few weeks in a downtrend, well, I have some bad news for you as the technical picture says otherwise. More →

By Kristina Keene Investiv Daily Sunday Edition Tesla
12 May
Tesla: Why I’m Not Short Or Long
Tesla’s stock has gone up 10 times in the last 5 years which is a wonderful performance for an unprofitable company.

It’s very difficult to calculate the future cash flows, but factoring in increased competition hardly justifies the current market capitalization.

Tesla is perhaps a once in a life-time investment where the profitability, return on investment, dividends, etc., don’t matter at all. All that matters is to make this a better world and for you to become part of history!

Introduction

Tesla (Nasdaq: TSLA) is clearly the most exciting stock and company in the current market.

I really admire Elon Musk, both for what he has done and for what he is trying to do. However, admiration and excitement aren’t the best fundamental indicators to make an investment on.

Today we’ll discuss common sense investing, which should be the process of attaching a number (fair stock price) to the probabilities of various outcomes, and ‘change the world’ investing where anything is possible. More →
By Sven Carlin Investiv Daily Tesla
30 Jan
There’s Buzz Around Cobalt But Don’t Buy Yet
The cobalt hype reminds me of the 2008 uranium and 2011 rare earth element spikes. Both ended badly for investors.

The bull case is tempting, but you should always investigate mining costs of junior miners because the cheapest way to get to cobalt is as a by-product, and there are big copper mines that can supply it.

Be careful of dilutive capital raises, liquidity issues, and stock liquidity and all other issues that penny stocks have, no matter how attractive the cobalt pitch might seem.

Introduction

Many of you might be wondering what’s going on with cobalt as its price has gone up lately which has created an interesting buzz in the financial world.

On top of it, many mention cobalt alongside sexy names like Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) which further increases the buzz.

Today I’ll shed some light on cobalt in order to see if there is a long term profitable trend forming in its supply and demand, or if it’s just a fad like rare earths, graphite, or uranium were back in their days. More →
By Sven Carlin Cobalt Commodities Copper Investiv Daily Market Forecast Tesla
19 Jan
Analysts Have It All Wrong On Tesla
In order to justify current market valuations, Tesla should increase car sales at least 12-fold, but there aren’t any sell recommendations for the company.

GM has a market capitalization per vehicle sold that is 79 times lower than Tesla’s.

Analysts are extremely exuberant about the market and are misleading investors. A better risk reward model is necessary in order to prevent tragic investment situations.

Introduction

As we are in the eighth year of this wonderful bull market, investors, analysts, and asset managers spend much more time analyzing potential rewards than analyzing risk because we easily forget to think about risk which is in opposition to Warren Buffet’s first and second rule of investing:

“Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Never forget rule No.1.”

Not losing money means we should spend more time analyzing risk than we should on analyzing potential future investment rewards. Unfortunately, this is neither fun nor cool, and demands high levels of discipline, a very cyclical and long term perspective on investing with strong self-awareness, and confidence in what you’re doing so as to not just follow the crowd. More →
By Sven Carlin Auto Industry GM Investiv Daily Tesla Valuations
30 Nov
Think You’re Comparing Apples To Apples? Think Again.
This article is a warning for novice investors and a reminder for experts.

When investing, nothing can be taken as a certainty as all are moving parts, especially financial metrics and prices.

Comparing current prices to past prices doesn’t help much, while understanding the fundamentals does.

Introduction

Investing shouldn’t be a comparative profession, but that is exactly what we do. We try to find the best stocks by comparing one to others, the best financial vehicle for our investments by comparing the options available, or we compare current prices with those of the past.

Unfortunately, comparative analysis more often than not gives us poor risk-reward assessments. In this article, we’ll discuss the pitfalls of comparative investing and what can be done to avoid making unnecessary mistakes. More →
By Sven Carlin Commodities Gold Investing Strategy Investiv Daily Stocks Tesla

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